Topaz Energy Valuation
Is TPZ undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?
Valuation Score
2/6Valuation Score 2/6
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Analyst Forecast
Key Valuation Metric
Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for TPZ?
Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.
| What is TPZ's n/a Ratio? | |
|---|---|
| n/a Ratio | 0x |
| n/a | n/a |
| Market Cap | CA$3.08b |
| Key Statistics | |
|---|---|
| Enterprise Value/Revenue | 9.5x |
| Enterprise Value/EBITDA | 9.6x |
| PEG Ratio | 15.7x |
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers
How does TPZ's PE Ratio compare to its peers?
| Company | PE | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Peer Average | 3.2x | ||
PXT Parex Resources | 4x | 2.5% | CA$3.0b |
VET Vermilion Energy | 1.9x | -42.6% | CA$2.6b |
SDE Spartan Delta | 3.7x | n/a | CA$2.6b |
BTE Baytex Energy | 3x | 0.6% | CA$2.5b |
TPZ Topaz Energy | 32.2x | -8.5% | CA$3.1b |
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: TPZ is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (32.2x) compared to the peer average (3.2x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry
How does TPZ's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the CA Oil and Gas Industry?
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: TPZ is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (32.2x) compared to the Canadian Oil and Gas industry average (4.8x)
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio
What is TPZ's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.
| Fair Ratio | |
|---|---|
| Current PE Ratio | 32.2x |
| Fair PE Ratio | 5.7x |
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: TPZ is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (32.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (5.7x).
Share Price vs Fair Value
What is the Fair Price of TPZ when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.
Below Fair Value: TPZ (CA$21.36) is trading below our estimate of fair value (CA$21.63)
Significantly Below Fair Value: TPZ is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.
Analyst Price Targets
What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?
| Date | Share Price | Average 1Y Price Target | Dispersion | High | Low | 1Y Actual price | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current | CA$21.36 | CA$27.21 +27.4% | 9.8% | CA$32.00 | CA$23.00 | n/a | 14 |
| Jun ’24 | CA$20.78 | CA$27.03 +30.1% | 9.8% | CA$32.00 | CA$23.00 | n/a | 15 |
| May ’24 | CA$19.35 | CA$27.10 +40.1% | 10.4% | CA$32.00 | CA$22.00 | n/a | 15 |
| Apr ’24 | CA$19.11 | CA$27.60 +44.4% | 9.5% | CA$32.00 | CA$22.00 | n/a | 15 |
| Mar ’24 | CA$19.41 | CA$28.50 +46.8% | 8.0% | CA$32.00 | CA$24.50 | n/a | 15 |
| Feb ’24 | CA$19.91 | CA$28.97 +45.5% | 8.5% | CA$32.00 | CA$24.50 | n/a | 15 |
| Jan ’24 | CA$21.13 | CA$30.52 +44.4% | 7.5% | CA$36.00 | CA$26.50 | n/a | 14 |
| Dec ’23 | CA$23.52 | CA$30.38 +29.1% | 7.8% | CA$36.00 | CA$26.50 | n/a | 14 |
| Nov ’23 | CA$23.45 | CA$30.09 +28.3% | 8.2% | CA$36.00 | CA$25.50 | n/a | 14 |
| Oct ’23 | CA$20.82 | CA$30.02 +44.2% | 7.9% | CA$36.00 | CA$26.00 | n/a | 14 |
| Sep ’23 | CA$19.99 | CA$29.72 +48.7% | 7.3% | CA$35.00 | CA$25.50 | n/a | 15 |
| Aug ’23 | CA$22.42 | CA$29.63 +32.1% | 7.6% | CA$35.00 | CA$25.50 | n/a | 14 |
| Jul ’23 | CA$20.31 | CA$29.75 +46.5% | 7.8% | CA$35.00 | CA$26.50 | n/a | 14 |
| Jun ’23 | CA$24.02 | CA$28.86 +20.1% | 7.5% | CA$33.00 | CA$26.00 | CA$20.78 | 14 |
| May ’23 | CA$22.76 | CA$27.59 +21.2% | 5.9% | CA$32.00 | CA$26.00 | CA$19.35 | 14 |
| Apr ’23 | CA$21.31 | CA$26.09 +22.4% | 7.6% | CA$30.00 | CA$23.00 | CA$19.11 | 14 |
| Mar ’23 | CA$20.40 | CA$23.91 +17.2% | 7.8% | CA$27.00 | CA$21.50 | CA$19.41 | 14 |
| Feb ’23 | CA$18.45 | CA$23.68 +28.4% | 7.2% | CA$27.00 | CA$21.50 | CA$19.91 | 15 |
| Jan ’23 | CA$17.85 | CA$23.30 +30.5% | 8.5% | CA$28.00 | CA$21.00 | CA$21.13 | 16 |
| Dec ’22 | CA$17.55 | CA$23.30 +32.7% | 8.5% | CA$28.00 | CA$21.00 | CA$23.52 | 16 |
| Nov ’22 | CA$18.34 | CA$22.98 +25.3% | 9.7% | CA$28.00 | CA$19.00 | CA$23.45 | 15 |
| Oct ’22 | CA$17.45 | CA$21.41 +22.7% | 9.4% | CA$27.00 | CA$19.00 | CA$20.82 | 14 |
| Sep ’22 | CA$15.89 | CA$21.19 +33.4% | 10.1% | CA$27.00 | CA$19.00 | CA$19.99 | 13 |
| Aug ’22 | CA$15.97 | CA$21.17 +32.5% | 9.7% | CA$27.00 | CA$19.00 | CA$22.42 | 15 |
| Jul ’22 | CA$17.30 | CA$19.80 +14.5% | 8.7% | CA$24.00 | CA$16.00 | CA$20.31 | 15 |
| Jun ’22 | CA$14.69 | CA$18.43 +25.4% | 7.7% | CA$20.50 | CA$16.00 | CA$24.02 | 7 |
Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.