Stock Analysis

Don't Buy Topaz Energy Corp. (TSE:TPZ) For Its Next Dividend Without Doing These Checks

Topaz Energy Corp. (TSE:TPZ) is about to trade ex-dividend in the next 4 days. The ex-dividend date occurs one day before the record date which is the day on which shareholders need to be on the company's books in order to receive a dividend. The ex-dividend date is of consequence because whenever a stock is bought or sold, the trade takes at least two business day to settle. Meaning, you will need to purchase Topaz Energy's shares before the 13th of December to receive the dividend, which will be paid on the 31st of December.

The company's next dividend payment will be CA$0.33 per share. Last year, in total, the company distributed CA$1.32 to shareholders. Last year's total dividend payments show that Topaz Energy has a trailing yield of 4.8% on the current share price of CA$27.29. Dividends are a major contributor to investment returns for long term holders, but only if the dividend continues to be paid. We need to see whether the dividend is covered by earnings and if it's growing.

View our latest analysis for Topaz Energy

If a company pays out more in dividends than it earned, then the dividend might become unsustainable - hardly an ideal situation. Topaz Energy paid out a disturbingly high 301% of its profit as dividends last year, which makes us concerned there's something we don't fully understand in the business. That said, even highly profitable companies sometimes might not generate enough cash to pay the dividend, which is why we should always check if the dividend is covered by cash flow. Topaz Energy paid out more free cash flow than it generated - 122%, to be precise - last year, which we think is concerningly high. We're curious about why the company paid out more cash than it generated last year, since this can be one of the early signs that a dividend may be unsustainable.

Cash is slightly more important than profit from a dividend perspective, but given Topaz Energy's payouts were not well covered by either earnings or cash flow, we would be concerned about the sustainability of this dividend.

Click here to see the company's payout ratio, plus analyst estimates of its future dividends.

historic-dividend
TSX:TPZ Historic Dividend December 8th 2024
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Have Earnings And Dividends Been Growing?

Stocks in companies that generate sustainable earnings growth often make the best dividend prospects, as it is easier to lift the dividend when earnings are rising. Investors love dividends, so if earnings fall and the dividend is reduced, expect a stock to be sold off heavily at the same time. It's encouraging to see Topaz Energy has grown its earnings rapidly, up 52% a year for the past five years. Earnings per share are increasing at a rapid rate, but the company is paying out more than we think is sustainable, based on current earnings. Companies that pay out more than they earned while growing rapidly, can find themselves short of cash in a few years when growth slows.

The main way most investors will assess a company's dividend prospects is by checking the historical rate of dividend growth. In the past four years, Topaz Energy has increased its dividend at approximately 13% a year on average. It's exciting to see that both earnings and dividends per share have grown rapidly over the past few years.

The Bottom Line

Has Topaz Energy got what it takes to maintain its dividend payments? While it's nice to see earnings per share growing, we're curious about how Topaz Energy intends to continue growing, or maintain the dividend in a downturn given that it's paying out such a high percentage of its earnings and cashflow. Bottom line: Topaz Energy has some unfortunate characteristics that we think could lead to sub-optimal outcomes for dividend investors.

With that in mind though, if the poor dividend characteristics of Topaz Energy don't faze you, it's worth being mindful of the risks involved with this business. For example, Topaz Energy has 2 warning signs (and 1 which shouldn't be ignored) we think you should know about.

Generally, we wouldn't recommend just buying the first dividend stock you see. Here's a curated list of interesting stocks that are strong dividend payers.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Topaz Energy might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

Access Free Analysis

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About TSX:TPZ

Topaz Energy

Operates as a royalty and infrastructure energy company in Canada.

Reasonable growth potential and fair value.

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