Stock Analysis

Is Tourmaline Oil (TSE:TOU) Using Too Much Debt?

TSX:TOU
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Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We note that Tourmaline Oil Corp. (TSE:TOU) does have debt on its balance sheet. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Tourmaline Oil

What Is Tourmaline Oil's Net Debt?

The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Tourmaline Oil had CA$448.6m in debt in September 2023; about the same as the year before. However, it also had CA$70.0m in cash, and so its net debt is CA$378.6m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
TSX:TOU Debt to Equity History January 16th 2024

How Strong Is Tourmaline Oil's Balance Sheet?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Tourmaline Oil had liabilities of CA$1.43b due within a year, and liabilities of CA$3.32b falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had CA$70.0m in cash and CA$671.8m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total CA$4.00b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

Since publicly traded Tourmaline Oil shares are worth a very impressive total of CA$21.9b, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Tourmaline Oil can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

In the last year Tourmaline Oil had a loss before interest and tax, and actually shrunk its revenue by 25%, to CA$5.3b. That makes us nervous, to say the least.

Caveat Emptor

While Tourmaline Oil's falling revenue is about as heartwarming as a wet blanket, arguably its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss is even less appealing. Indeed, it lost CA$960m at the EBIT level. When we look at that and recall the liabilities on its balance sheet, relative to cash, it seems unwise to us for the company to have any debt. So we think its balance sheet is a little strained, though not beyond repair. On the bright side, we note that trailing twelve month EBIT is worse than the free cash flow of CA$2.6b and the profit of CA$1.0b. So if we focus on those metrics there seems to be a chance the company will manage its debt without much trouble. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for Tourmaline Oil you should know about.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.