Stock Analysis

Is Petrus Resources (TSE:PRQ) Using Debt In A Risky Way?

TSX:PRQ
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David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We note that Petrus Resources Ltd. (TSE:PRQ) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Petrus Resources

What Is Petrus Resources's Debt?

As you can see below, Petrus Resources had CA$113.9m of debt at March 2021, down from CA$123.2m a year prior. Net debt is about the same, since the it doesn't have much cash.

debt-equity-history-analysis
TSX:PRQ Debt to Equity History July 20th 2021

How Strong Is Petrus Resources' Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Petrus Resources had liabilities of CA$129.2m falling due within a year, and liabilities of CA$42.0m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CA$1.31m as well as receivables valued at CA$7.62m due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CA$162.3m.

The deficiency here weighs heavily on the CA$30.7m company itself, as if a child were struggling under the weight of an enormous back-pack full of books, his sports gear, and a trumpet. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. At the end of the day, Petrus Resources would probably need a major re-capitalization if its creditors were to demand repayment. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Petrus Resources's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

In the last year Petrus Resources had a loss before interest and tax, and actually shrunk its revenue by 20%, to CA$47m. We would much prefer see growth.

Caveat Emptor

Not only did Petrus Resources's revenue slip over the last twelve months, but it also produced negative earnings before interest and tax (EBIT). Indeed, it lost a very considerable CA$4.3m at the EBIT level. Combining this information with the significant liabilities we already touched on makes us very hesitant about this stock, to say the least. Of course, it may be able to improve its situation with a bit of luck and good execution. Nevertheless, we would not bet on it given that it lost CA$13m in just last twelve months, and it doesn't have much by way of liquid assets. So we think this stock is quite risky. We'd prefer to pass. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example - Petrus Resources has 2 warning signs we think you should be aware of.

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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