Keyera (TSE:KEY) Has Re-Affirmed Its Dividend Of CA$0.16

By
Simply Wall St
Published
October 17, 2021
TSX:KEY
Source: Shutterstock

Keyera Corp. (TSE:KEY) will pay a dividend of CA$0.16 on the 15th of November. This makes the dividend yield 5.9%, which will augment investor returns quite nicely.

View our latest analysis for Keyera

Keyera Is Paying Out More Than It Is Earning

If the payments aren't sustainable, a high yield for a few years won't matter that much. Before making this announcement, the company's dividend was much higher than its earnings. It will be difficult to sustain this level of payout so we wouldn't be confident about this continuing.

Over the next year, EPS is forecast to grow rapidly. Assuming the dividend continues along recent trends, we could see the payout ratio reach 116%, which is on the unsustainable side.

historic-dividend
TSX:KEY Historic Dividend October 18th 2021

Dividend Volatility

The company has a long dividend track record, but it doesn't look great with cuts in the past. Since 2011, the first annual payment was CA$0.90, compared to the most recent full-year payment of CA$1.92. This works out to be a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 7.9% a year over that time. We like to see dividends have grown at a reasonable rate, but with at least one substantial cut in the payments, we're not certain this dividend stock would be ideal for someone intending to live on the income.

The Dividend Has Limited Growth Potential

Growing earnings per share could be a mitigating factor when considering the past fluctuations in the dividend. Keyera's earnings per share has shrunk at 18% a year over the past five years. This steep decline can indicate that the business is going through a tough time, which could constrain its ability to pay a larger dividend each year in the future. However, the next year is actually looking up, with earnings set to rise. We would just wait until it becomes a pattern before getting too excited.

Keyera's Dividend Doesn't Look Great

Overall, this isn't a great candidate as an income investment, even though the dividend was stable this year. The company seems to be stretching itself a bit to make such big payments, but it doesn't appear they can be consistent over time. We don't think that this is a great candidate to be an income stock.

Market movements attest to how highly valued a consistent dividend policy is compared to one which is more unpredictable. However, there are other things to consider for investors when analysing stock performance. For example, we've identified 5 warning signs for Keyera (1 can't be ignored!) that you should be aware of before investing. If you are a dividend investor, you might also want to look at our curated list of high performing dividend stock.

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