Stock Analysis

Keyera (TSE:KEY) Has Announced A Dividend Of CA$0.16

TSX:KEY
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Keyera Corp. (TSE:KEY) has announced that it will pay a dividend of CA$0.16 per share on the 16th of August. This means the annual payment is 5.8% of the current stock price, which is above the average for the industry.

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Keyera Doesn't Earn Enough To Cover Its Payments

While it is great to have a strong dividend yield, we should also consider whether the payment is sustainable. Before making this announcement, the company's dividend was much higher than its earnings. Without profits and cash flows increasing, it would be difficult for the company to continue paying the dividend at this level.

Over the next year, EPS is forecast to grow rapidly. Assuming the dividend continues along recent trends, we could see the payout ratio reach 113%, which is on the unsustainable side.

historic-dividend
TSX:KEY Historic Dividend July 16th 2021

Dividend Volatility

Although the company has a long dividend history, it has been cut at least once in the last 10 years. The first annual payment during the last 10 years was CA$0.90 in 2011, and the most recent fiscal year payment was CA$1.92. This means that it has been growing its distributions at 7.9% per annum over that time. We have seen cuts in the past, so while the growth looks promising we would be a little bit cautious about its track record.

The Dividend Has Limited Growth Potential

With a relatively unstable dividend, it's even more important to evaluate if earnings per share is growing, which could point to a growing dividend in the future. Earnings per share has been sinking by 26% over the last five years. Dividend payments are likely to come under some pressure unless EPS can pull out of the nosedive it is in. It's not all bad news though, as the earnings are predicted to rise over the next 12 months - we would just be a bit cautious until this becomes a long term trend.

Keyera's Dividend Doesn't Look Great

Overall, this isn't a great candidate as an income investment, even though the dividend was stable this year. The company seems to be stretching itself a bit to make such big payments, but it doesn't appear they can be consistent over time. The dividend doesn't inspire confidence that it will provide solid income in the future.

Market movements attest to how highly valued a consistent dividend policy is compared to one which is more unpredictable. Meanwhile, despite the importance of dividend payments, they are not the only factors our readers should know when assessing a company. Just as an example, we've come across 5 warning signs for Keyera you should be aware of, and 2 of them don't sit too well with us. If you are a dividend investor, you might also want to look at our curated list of high performing dividend stock.

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