Stock Analysis

Individual investors in Kelt Exploration Ltd. (TSE:KEL) are its biggest bettors, and their bets paid off as stock gained 10.0% last week

TSX:KEL
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Key Insights

  • Kelt Exploration's significant individual investors ownership suggests that the key decisions are influenced by shareholders from the larger public
  • A total of 25 investors have a majority stake in the company with 47% ownership
  • Insiders own 17% of Kelt Exploration

Every investor in Kelt Exploration Ltd. (TSE:KEL) should be aware of the most powerful shareholder groups. With 51% stake, individual investors possess the maximum shares in the company. Put another way, the group faces the maximum upside potential (or downside risk).

As a result, individual investors collectively scored the highest last week as the company hit CA$1.2b market cap following a 10.0% gain in the stock.

Let's take a closer look to see what the different types of shareholders can tell us about Kelt Exploration.

View our latest analysis for Kelt Exploration

ownership-breakdown
TSX:KEL Ownership Breakdown August 15th 2024

What Does The Institutional Ownership Tell Us About Kelt Exploration?

Institutional investors commonly compare their own returns to the returns of a commonly followed index. So they generally do consider buying larger companies that are included in the relevant benchmark index.

Kelt Exploration already has institutions on the share registry. Indeed, they own a respectable stake in the company. This implies the analysts working for those institutions have looked at the stock and they like it. But just like anyone else, they could be wrong. When multiple institutions own a stock, there's always a risk that they are in a 'crowded trade'. When such a trade goes wrong, multiple parties may compete to sell stock fast. This risk is higher in a company without a history of growth. You can see Kelt Exploration's historic earnings and revenue below, but keep in mind there's always more to the story.

earnings-and-revenue-growth
TSX:KEL Earnings and Revenue Growth August 15th 2024

Our data indicates that hedge funds own 21% of Kelt Exploration. That worth noting, since hedge funds are often quite active investors, who may try to influence management. Many want to see value creation (and a higher share price) in the short term or medium term. GMT Capital Corp. is currently the largest shareholder, with 21% of shares outstanding. In comparison, the second and third largest shareholders hold about 12% and 2.8% of the stock. David Wilson, who is the second-largest shareholder, also happens to hold the title of Chief Executive Officer.

Our studies suggest that the top 25 shareholders collectively control less than half of the company's shares, meaning that the company's shares are widely disseminated and there is no dominant shareholder.

While studying institutional ownership for a company can add value to your research, it is also a good practice to research analyst recommendations to get a deeper understand of a stock's expected performance. There is a little analyst coverage of the stock, but not much. So there is room for it to gain more coverage.

Insider Ownership Of Kelt Exploration

The definition of an insider can differ slightly between different countries, but members of the board of directors always count. The company management answer to the board and the latter should represent the interests of shareholders. Notably, sometimes top-level managers are on the board themselves.

Most consider insider ownership a positive because it can indicate the board is well aligned with other shareholders. However, on some occasions too much power is concentrated within this group.

Our information suggests that insiders maintain a significant holding in Kelt Exploration Ltd.. Insiders own CA$201m worth of shares in the CA$1.2b company. It is great to see insiders so invested in the business. It might be worth checking if those insiders have been buying recently.

General Public Ownership

The general public, who are usually individual investors, hold a substantial 51% stake in Kelt Exploration, suggesting it is a fairly popular stock. With this amount of ownership, retail investors can collectively play a role in decisions that affect shareholder returns, such as dividend policies and the appointment of directors. They can also exercise the power to vote on acquisitions or mergers that may not improve profitability.

Next Steps:

I find it very interesting to look at who exactly owns a company. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Be aware that Kelt Exploration is showing 1 warning sign in our investment analysis , you should know about...

Ultimately the future is most important. You can access this free report on analyst forecasts for the company.

NB: Figures in this article are calculated using data from the last twelve months, which refer to the 12-month period ending on the last date of the month the financial statement is dated. This may not be consistent with full year annual report figures.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Kelt Exploration might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.