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Need To Know: Analysts Are Much More Bullish On Cenovus Energy Inc. (TSE:CVE) Revenues
Cenovus Energy Inc. (TSE:CVE) shareholders will have a reason to smile today, with the analysts making substantial upgrades to this year's forecasts. The consensus estimated revenue numbers rose, with their view now clearly much more bullish on the company's business prospects.
Following the upgrade, the most recent consensus for Cenovus Energy from its five analysts is for revenues of CA$56b in 2022 which, if met, would be a major 21% increase on its sales over the past 12 months. Per-share earnings are expected to shoot up 819% to CA$2.55. Prior to this update, the analysts had been forecasting revenues of CA$49b and earnings per share (EPS) of CA$2.48 in 2022. The most recent forecasts are noticeably more optimistic, with a decent improvement in revenue estimates and a lift to earnings per share as well.
See our latest analysis for Cenovus Energy
Although the analysts have upgraded their earnings estimates, there was no change to the consensus price target of CA$23.78, suggesting that the forecast performance does not have a long term impact on the company's valuation. The consensus price target is just an average of individual analyst targets, so - it could be handy to see how wide the range of underlying estimates is. Currently, the most bullish analyst values Cenovus Energy at CA$28.00 per share, while the most bearish prices it at CA$20.00. These price targets show that analysts do have some differing views on the business, but the estimates do not vary enough to suggest to us that some are betting on wild success or utter failure.
Of course, another way to look at these forecasts is to place them into context against the industry itself. The analysts are definitely expecting Cenovus Energy's growth to accelerate, with the forecast 21% annualised growth to the end of 2022 ranking favourably alongside historical growth of 16% per annum over the past five years. Compare this with other companies in the same industry, which are forecast to grow their revenue 4.0% annually. Factoring in the forecast acceleration in revenue, it's pretty clear that Cenovus Energy is expected to grow much faster than its industry.
The Bottom Line
The biggest takeaway for us from these new estimates is that analysts upgraded their earnings per share estimates, with improved earnings power expected for this year. They also upgraded their revenue estimates for this year, and sales are expected to grow faster than the wider market. Seeing the dramatic upgrade to this year's forecasts, it might be time to take another look at Cenovus Energy.
Even so, the longer term trajectory of the business is much more important for the value creation of shareholders. At Simply Wall St, we have a full range of analyst estimates for Cenovus Energy going out to 2024, and you can see them free on our platform here..
We also provide an overview of the Cenovus Energy Board and CEO remuneration and length of tenure at the company, and whether insiders have been buying the stock, here.
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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSX:CVE
Cenovus Energy
Develops, produces, refines, transports, and markets crude oil, natural gas, and refined petroleum products in Canada, the United States, and China.
Undervalued with excellent balance sheet.
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