CMG Stock Overview
Computer Modelling Group Ltd., a computer software technology company, develops and licenses reservoir simulation software in Canada and internationally.
Computer Modelling Group Competitors
Price History & Performance
|Historical stock prices|
|Current Share Price||CA$4.50|
|52 Week High||CA$5.72|
|52 Week Low||CA$3.83|
|1 Month Change||-6.25%|
|3 Month Change||-13.13%|
|1 Year Change||-18.18%|
|3 Year Change||-38.19%|
|5 Year Change||-55.80%|
|Change since IPO||1,465.22%|
Recent News & Updates
Computer Modelling Group's (TSE:CMG) Returns On Capital Not Reflecting Well On The Business
What are the early trends we should look for to identify a stock that could multiply in value over the long term? One...
|CMG||CA Energy Services||CA Market|
Return vs Industry: CMG underperformed the Canadian Energy Services industry which returned -0.4% over the past year.
Return vs Market: CMG underperformed the Canadian Market which returned -4.1% over the past year.
|CMG Average Weekly Movement||4.8%|
|Energy Services Industry Average Movement||8.0%|
|Market Average Movement||9.9%|
|10% most volatile stocks in CA Market||17.2%|
|10% least volatile stocks in CA Market||4.3%|
Stable Share Price: CMG is less volatile than 75% of Canadian stocks over the past 3 months, typically moving +/- 5% a week.
Volatility Over Time: CMG's weekly volatility (5%) has been stable over the past year.
About the Company
Computer Modelling Group Ltd., a computer software technology company, develops and licenses reservoir simulation software in Canada and internationally. The company offers CMOST-AI, an intelligent optimization and analysis tool that offers solution for reservoir by combining statistical analysis, machine learning, and non-biased data interpretation; IMEX, a black oil simulator that is used to model primary and secondary oil recovery processes in conventional and unconventional oil and gas reservoirs; GEM, an equation-of-state reservoir simulator for compositional, chemical, and unconventional reservoir modelling; STARS, a thermal and processes reservoir simulator for the modelling of steam, solvents, air, and chemical recovery processes; and CoFlow, a reservoir and production system modelling software that allows reservoir and production engineers to make informed decisions on large integrated oil and gas projects in Canada. It also provides Builder, a pre-processor that simplifies the creation of simulation models by providing a framework for data integration and workflow management between various data sources; Results, a post-processor that helps in enhancing understanding and insight into recovery processes and reservoir performance; WinProp, a fluid property characterization tool; and Autotune artificial intelligence solutions that tune the model for optimal run time.
Computer Modelling Group Fundamentals Summary
|CMG fundamental statistics|
Is CMG overvalued?See Fair Value and valuation analysis
Earnings & Revenue
|CMG income statement (TTM)|
|Cost of Revenue||CA$16.00m|
Last Reported Earnings
Mar 31, 2022
Next Earnings Date
Aug 11, 2022
|Earnings per share (EPS)||0.23|
|Net Profit Margin||27.80%|
How did CMG perform over the long term?See historical performance and comparison
4.4%Current Dividend Yield
Is CMG undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?
Valuation Score 3/6
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Key Valuation Metric
Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for CMG?
Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.
|What is CMG's n/a Ratio?|
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers
How does CMG's PE Ratio compare to its peers?
|CMG PE Ratio vs Peers|
|Company||PE||Estimated Growth||Market Cap|
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: CMG is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.6x) compared to the peer average (22x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry
How does CMG's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Energy Services Industry?
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: CMG is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.6x) compared to the Canadian Energy Services industry average (18x)
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio
What is CMG's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.
|Current PE Ratio||19.6x|
|Fair PE Ratio||12.2x|
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: CMG is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.2x).
Share Price vs Fair Value
What is the Fair Price of CMG when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.
Below Fair Value: CMG (CA$4.5) is trading below our estimate of fair value (CA$6.51)
Significantly Below Fair Value: CMG is trading below fair value by more than 20%.
Price to Earnings Growth Ratio
PEG Ratio: CMG is poor value based on its PEG Ratio (1.8x)
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How is Computer Modelling Group forecast to perform in the next 1 to 3 years based on estimates from 4 analysts?
Future Growth Score3/6
Future Growth Score 3/6
Earnings vs Savings Rate
Earnings vs Market
High Growth Earnings
Revenue vs Market
High Growth Revenue
Forecasted annual earnings growth
Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts
Analyst Future Growth Forecasts
Earnings vs Savings Rate: CMG's forecast earnings growth (11.2% per year) is above the savings rate (1.6%).
Earnings vs Market: CMG's earnings (11.2% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the Canadian market (8.3% per year).
High Growth Earnings: CMG's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.
Revenue vs Market: CMG's revenue (5.2% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the Canadian market (7.3% per year).
High Growth Revenue: CMG's revenue (5.2% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.
Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts
Future Return on Equity
Future ROE: CMG's Return on Equity is forecast to be high in 3 years time (37.2%)
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How has Computer Modelling Group performed over the past 5 years?
Past Performance Score2/6
Past Performance Score 2/6
Growing Profit Margin
Earnings vs Industry
Historical annual earnings growth
Earnings and Revenue History
Quality Earnings: CMG has high quality earnings.
Growing Profit Margin: CMG's current net profit margins (27.8%) are lower than last year (30%).
Past Earnings Growth Analysis
Earnings Trend: CMG's earnings have declined by 2.6% per year over the past 5 years.
Accelerating Growth: CMG's has had negative earnings growth over the past year, so it can't be compared to its 5-year average.
Earnings vs Industry: CMG had negative earnings growth (-8.8%) over the past year, making it difficult to compare to the Energy Services industry average (-8%).
Return on Equity
High ROE: CMG's Return on Equity (39.4%) is considered high.
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How is Computer Modelling Group's financial position?
Financial Health Score6/6
Financial Health Score 6/6
Short Term Liabilities
Long Term Liabilities
Financial Position Analysis
Short Term Liabilities: CMG's short term assets (CA$78.9M) exceed its short term liabilities (CA$38.9M).
Long Term Liabilities: CMG's short term assets (CA$78.9M) exceed its long term liabilities (CA$39.5M).
Debt to Equity History and Analysis
Debt Level: CMG is debt free.
Reducing Debt: CMG has not had any debt for past 5 years.
Debt Coverage: CMG has no debt, therefore it does not need to be covered by operating cash flow.
Interest Coverage: CMG has no debt, therefore coverage of interest payments is not a concern.
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What is Computer Modelling Group current dividend yield, its reliability and sustainability?
Dividend Score 2/6
Future Dividend Coverage
Current Dividend Yield
Dividend Yield vs Market
Notable Dividend: CMG's dividend (4.44%) is higher than the bottom 25% of dividend payers in the Canadian market (2.03%).
High Dividend: CMG's dividend (4.44%) is low compared to the top 25% of dividend payers in the Canadian market (5.33%).
Stability and Growth of Payments
Stable Dividend: CMG's dividend payments have been volatile in the past 10 years.
Growing Dividend: CMG's dividend payments have fallen over the past 10 years.
Earnings Payout to Shareholders
Earnings Coverage: At its current payout ratio (87.3%), CMG's payments are covered by earnings.
Cash Payout to Shareholders
Cash Flow Coverage: With its reasonable cash payout ratio (57.4%), CMG's dividend payments are covered by cash flows.
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How experienced are the management team and are they aligned to shareholders interests?
Average management tenure
Pramod Jain (40 yo)
Mr. Pramod Jain is President and Chief Executive Officer of Computer Modelling Group Ltd. since May 10, 2022. Mr. Jain is a seasoned executive with experience in the software industry with a demonstrated t...
Experienced Management: CMG's management team is considered experienced (4.5 years average tenure).
Experienced Board: CMG's board of directors are seasoned and experienced ( 10.3 years average tenure).
Who are the major shareholders and have insiders been buying or selling?
Insider Trading Volume
Insider Buying: CMG insiders have only sold shares in the past 3 months.
Recent Insider Transactions
Dilution of Shares: Shareholders have not been meaningfully diluted in the past year.
Computer Modelling Group Ltd.'s employee growth, exchange listings and data sources
- Name: Computer Modelling Group Ltd.
- Ticker: CMG
- Exchange: TSX
- Founded: 1978
- Industry: Oil and Gas Equipment and Services
- Sector: Energy
- Implied Market Cap: CA$361.507m
- Shares outstanding: 80.33m
- Website: https://www.cmgl.ca
Number of Employees
- Computer Modelling Group Ltd.
- 3710 33 Street N.W
- T2L 2M1
Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
|Data||Last Updated (UTC time)|
|Company Analysis||2022/06/26 00:00|
|End of Day Share Price||2022/06/24 00:00|
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.