Stock Analysis

Returns On Capital At Computer Modelling Group (TSE:CMG) Paint A Concerning Picture

TSX:CMG
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What trends should we look for it we want to identify stocks that can multiply in value over the long term? One common approach is to try and find a company with returns on capital employed (ROCE) that are increasing, in conjunction with a growing amount of capital employed. Ultimately, this demonstrates that it's a business that is reinvesting profits at increasing rates of return. So when we looked at Computer Modelling Group (TSE:CMG), they do have a high ROCE, but we weren't exactly elated from how returns are trending.

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What Is Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)?

Just to clarify if you're unsure, ROCE is a metric for evaluating how much pre-tax income (in percentage terms) a company earns on the capital invested in its business. To calculate this metric for Computer Modelling Group, this is the formula:

Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)

0.25 = CA$34m ÷ (CA$200m - CA$68m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2025).

Thus, Computer Modelling Group has an ROCE of 25%. That's a fantastic return and not only that, it outpaces the average of 16% earned by companies in a similar industry.

Check out our latest analysis for Computer Modelling Group

roce
TSX:CMG Return on Capital Employed May 23rd 2025

Above you can see how the current ROCE for Computer Modelling Group compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you'd like, you can check out the forecasts from the analysts covering Computer Modelling Group for free.

What The Trend Of ROCE Can Tell Us

On the surface, the trend of ROCE at Computer Modelling Group doesn't inspire confidence. To be more specific, while the ROCE is still high, it's fallen from 41% where it was five years ago. However, given capital employed and revenue have both increased it appears that the business is currently pursuing growth, at the consequence of short term returns. And if the increased capital generates additional returns, the business, and thus shareholders, will benefit in the long run.

On a side note, Computer Modelling Group's current liabilities have increased over the last five years to 34% of total assets, effectively distorting the ROCE to some degree. If current liabilities hadn't increased as much as they did, the ROCE could actually be even lower. Keep an eye on this ratio, because the business could encounter some new risks if this metric gets too high.

In Conclusion...

Even though returns on capital have fallen in the short term, we find it promising that revenue and capital employed have both increased for Computer Modelling Group. Furthermore the stock has climbed 79% over the last five years, it would appear that investors are upbeat about the future. So should these growth trends continue, we'd be optimistic on the stock going forward.

On a final note, we've found 1 warning sign for Computer Modelling Group that we think you should be aware of.

If you want to search for more stocks that have been earning high returns, check out this free list of stocks with solid balance sheets that are also earning high returns on equity.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About TSX:CMG

Computer Modelling Group

A software and consulting technology company, engages in the development and licensing of reservoir simulation and seismic interpretation software and related services.

Excellent balance sheet and fair value.

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