Cameco Corporation

TSX:CCO Stock Report

Market Cap: CA$31.3b

Cameco Valuation

Is CCO undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of CCO when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Discounted Cash Flow
Simply Wall St
CA$30.71
Fair Value
134.0% overvalued intrinsic discount
12
Number of Analysts

Below Fair Value: CCO (CA$71.87) is trading above our estimate of fair value (CA$30.71)

Significantly Below Fair Value: CCO is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for CCO?

Key metric: As CCO is barely profitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for CCO. This is calculated by dividing CCO's market cap by their current revenue.
What is CCO's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio11.2x
SalesCA$2.80b
Market CapCA$31.28b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does CCO's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for CCO vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average9x
EFR Energy Fuels
26.8x45.3%CA$1.5b
PPL Pembina Pipeline
3.1x0.7%CA$30.5b
CVE Cenovus Energy
0.7x-0.4%CA$38.4b
TOU Tourmaline Oil
5.5x23.7%CA$24.7b
CCO Cameco
11.2x6.0%CA$31.3b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: CCO is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (11.2x) compared to the peer average (7.9x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does CCO's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the CA Oil and Gas Industry?

20 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
PKI Parkland
0.2x1.4%US$3.87b
GEI Gibson Energy
0.3x-3.1%US$2.75b
SES SECURE Waste Infrastructure
0.3x-65.8%US$2.42b
FEC Frontera Energy
0.4xn/aUS$454.08m
CCO 11.2xIndustry Avg. 1.9xNo. of Companies23PS0246810+
20 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: CCO is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (11.2x) compared to the Canadian Oil and Gas industry average (1.9x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is CCO's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

CCO PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio11.2x
Fair PS Ratio1.2x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: CCO is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (11.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.2x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst CCO forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentCA$71.87
CA$86.75
+20.7%
6.2%CA$97.00CA$77.00n/a12
Jan ’26CA$73.91
CA$86.00
+16.4%
6.3%CA$94.00CA$76.00n/a14
Dec ’25CA$83.85
CA$85.43
+1.9%
6.1%CA$94.00CA$76.00n/a14
Nov ’25CA$73.29
CA$80.07
+9.3%
5.4%CA$91.00CA$75.00n/a14
Oct ’25CA$65.61
CA$77.29
+17.8%
5.0%CA$85.00CA$68.00n/a14
Sep ’25CA$54.99
CA$77.15
+40.3%
4.7%CA$82.00CA$68.00n/a13
Aug ’25CA$56.91
CA$77.69
+36.5%
5.2%CA$84.00CA$68.00n/a14
Jul ’25CA$67.31
CA$77.62
+15.3%
6.5%CA$84.00CA$64.00n/a14
Jun ’25CA$75.63
CA$76.19
+0.7%
6.0%CA$83.00CA$64.00n/a14
May ’25CA$64.56
CA$75.12
+16.4%
5.9%CA$80.00CA$64.00n/a14
Apr ’25CA$63.42
CA$73.51
+15.9%
4.9%CA$80.00CA$65.00n/a14
Mar ’25CA$56.91
CA$73.32
+28.8%
5.1%CA$80.00CA$65.00n/a13
Feb ’25CA$67.67
CA$71.65
+5.9%
5.6%CA$80.00CA$64.50CA$71.8713
Jan ’25CA$57.13
CA$70.04
+22.6%
3.9%CA$75.00CA$64.50CA$73.9112
Dec ’24CA$61.27
CA$68.79
+12.3%
3.7%CA$75.00CA$64.00CA$83.8512
Nov ’24CA$56.88
CA$65.67
+15.4%
6.3%CA$70.00CA$57.00CA$73.299
Oct ’24CA$53.89
CA$58.78
+9.1%
9.8%CA$70.00CA$52.00CA$65.619
Sep ’24CA$50.80
CA$51.72
+1.8%
3.6%CA$55.00CA$49.00CA$54.999
Aug ’24CA$45.88
CA$49.33
+7.5%
2.5%CA$51.00CA$48.00CA$56.919
Jul ’24CA$41.49
CA$49.00
+18.1%
3.2%CA$51.00CA$46.00CA$67.319
Jun ’24CA$40.76
CA$49.11
+20.5%
3.2%CA$51.00CA$46.00CA$75.639
May ’24CA$37.58
CA$49.11
+30.7%
3.2%CA$51.00CA$46.00CA$64.569
Apr ’24CA$35.39
CA$48.06
+35.8%
2.1%CA$50.00CA$46.00CA$63.429
Mar ’24CA$37.95
CA$48.06
+26.6%
2.1%CA$50.00CA$46.00CA$56.919
Feb ’24CA$38.11
CA$44.33
+16.3%
5.6%CA$48.00CA$41.00CA$67.679
Analyst Price Target
Consensus Narrative from 12 Analysts
CA$86.75
Fair Value
17.2% undervalued intrinsic discount
12
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/02/02 02:54
End of Day Share Price 2025/01/31 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Cameco Corporation is covered by 38 analysts. 11 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Harriet LiAccountability Research Corporation
Andrey LobazovAton LLC
Alexander Robert PearceBMO Capital Markets Equity Research