Stock Analysis

Athabasca Oil (TSE:ATH) Shareholders Will Want The ROCE Trajectory To Continue

TSX:ATH
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If you're looking for a multi-bagger, there's a few things to keep an eye out for. Amongst other things, we'll want to see two things; firstly, a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and secondly, an expansion in the company's amount of capital employed. If you see this, it typically means it's a company with a great business model and plenty of profitable reinvestment opportunities. So on that note, Athabasca Oil (TSE:ATH) looks quite promising in regards to its trends of return on capital.

Return On Capital Employed (ROCE): What is it?

For those who don't know, ROCE is a measure of a company's yearly pre-tax profit (its return), relative to the capital employed in the business. To calculate this metric for Athabasca Oil, this is the formula:

Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)

0.11 = CA$162m ÷ (CA$1.7b - CA$286m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2021).

So, Athabasca Oil has an ROCE of 11%. That's a relatively normal return on capital, and it's around the 12% generated by the Oil and Gas industry.

Check out our latest analysis for Athabasca Oil

roce
TSX:ATH Return on Capital Employed May 4th 2022

While the past is not representative of the future, it can be helpful to know how a company has performed historically, which is why we have this chart above. If you want to delve into the historical earnings, revenue and cash flow of Athabasca Oil, check out these free graphs here.

How Are Returns Trending?

Shareholders will be relieved that Athabasca Oil has broken into profitability. The company was generating losses five years ago, but has managed to turn it around and as we saw earlier is now earning 11%, which is always encouraging. Interestingly, the capital employed by the business has remained relatively flat, so these higher returns are either from prior investments paying off or increased efficiencies. With no noticeable increase in capital employed, it's worth knowing what the company plans on doing going forward in regards to reinvesting and growing the business. Because in the end, a business can only get so efficient.

One more thing to note, Athabasca Oil has decreased current liabilities to 16% of total assets over this period, which effectively reduces the amount of funding from suppliers or short-term creditors. Therefore we can rest assured that the growth in ROCE is a result of the business' fundamental improvements, rather than a cooking class featuring this company's books.

In Conclusion...

To bring it all together, Athabasca Oil has done well to increase the returns it's generating from its capital employed. Since the stock has returned a solid 99% to shareholders over the last five years, it's fair to say investors are beginning to recognize these changes. In light of that, we think it's worth looking further into this stock because if Athabasca Oil can keep these trends up, it could have a bright future ahead.

One more thing: We've identified 3 warning signs with Athabasca Oil (at least 1 which is concerning) , and understanding them would certainly be useful.

While Athabasca Oil may not currently earn the highest returns, we've compiled a list of companies that currently earn more than 25% return on equity. Check out this free list here.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.