Stock Analysis

Advantage Energy (TSE:AAV) Has A Pretty Healthy Balance Sheet

TSX:AAV
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Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We can see that Advantage Energy Ltd. (TSE:AAV) does use debt in its business. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Advantage Energy

What Is Advantage Energy's Net Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Advantage Energy had CA$210.2m of debt in March 2022, down from CA$240.4m, one year before. However, because it has a cash reserve of CA$6.64m, its net debt is less, at about CA$203.5m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
TSX:AAV Debt to Equity History July 6th 2022

How Healthy Is Advantage Energy's Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Advantage Energy had liabilities of CA$171.2m due within 12 months, and liabilities of CA$389.2m due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of CA$6.64m and CA$58.3m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CA$495.5m.

While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since Advantage Energy has a market capitalization of CA$1.52b, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

Advantage Energy's net debt is only 0.58 times its EBITDA. And its EBIT easily covers its interest expense, being 12.8 times the size. So we're pretty relaxed about its super-conservative use of debt. Although Advantage Energy made a loss at the EBIT level, last year, it was also good to see that it generated CA$238m in EBIT over the last twelve months. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Advantage Energy can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So it is important to check how much of its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) converts to actual free cash flow. Looking at the most recent year, Advantage Energy recorded free cash flow of 42% of its EBIT, which is weaker than we'd expect. That's not great, when it comes to paying down debt.

Our View

On our analysis Advantage Energy's interest cover should signal that it won't have too much trouble with its debt. But the other factors we noted above weren't so encouraging. For example, its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow makes us a little nervous about its debt. When we consider all the elements mentioned above, it seems to us that Advantage Energy is managing its debt quite well. But a word of caution: we think debt levels are high enough to justify ongoing monitoring. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For instance, we've identified 3 warning signs for Advantage Energy (1 shouldn't be ignored) you should be aware of.

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.