Stock Analysis

Subdued Growth No Barrier To Wilmington Capital Management Inc.'s (TSE:WCM.A) Price

TSX:WCM.A
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When close to half the companies in Canada have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 10x, you may consider Wilmington Capital Management Inc. (TSE:WCM.A) as a stock to avoid entirely with its 34.8x P/E ratio. However, the P/E might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

Wilmington Capital Management certainly has been doing a great job lately as it's been growing earnings at a really rapid pace. The P/E is probably high because investors think this strong earnings growth will be enough to outperform the broader market in the near future. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

View our latest analysis for Wilmington Capital Management

pe-multiple-vs-industry
TSX:WCM.A Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry June 26th 2023
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Wilmington Capital Management's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/E?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as steep as Wilmington Capital Management's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the market decidedly.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew earnings per share by an impressive 214% last year. However, this wasn't enough as the latest three year period has seen a very unpleasant 96% drop in EPS in aggregate. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of earnings growth.

In contrast to the company, the rest of the market is expected to grow by 11% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term earnings decline into perspective.

With this information, we find it concerning that Wilmington Capital Management is trading at a P/E higher than the market. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent earnings trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

The Final Word

While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.

We've established that Wilmington Capital Management currently trades on a much higher than expected P/E since its recent earnings have been in decline over the medium-term. Right now we are increasingly uncomfortable with the high P/E as this earnings performance is highly unlikely to support such positive sentiment for long. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.

Having said that, be aware Wilmington Capital Management is showing 4 warning signs in our investment analysis, and 1 of those is potentially serious.

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with a strong growth track record, trading on a low P/E.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Wilmington Capital Management might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.