Stock Analysis

A Piece Of The Puzzle Missing From Pinetree Capital Ltd.'s (TSE:PNP) Share Price

TSX:PNP
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With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 4.3x Pinetree Capital Ltd. (TSE:PNP) may be sending very bullish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all companies in Canada have P/E ratios greater than 16x and even P/E's higher than 33x are not unusual. However, the P/E might be quite low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

Recent times have been quite advantageous for Pinetree Capital as its earnings have been rising very briskly. One possibility is that the P/E is low because investors think this strong earnings growth might actually underperform the broader market in the near future. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

See our latest analysis for Pinetree Capital

pe-multiple-vs-industry
TSX:PNP Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry October 24th 2024
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Pinetree Capital's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/E?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as depressed as Pinetree Capital's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the market decidedly.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 291% gain to the company's bottom line. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow EPS by 214% in total over the last three years. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing earnings over that time.

This is in contrast to the rest of the market, which is expected to grow by 25% over the next year, materially lower than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

In light of this, it's peculiar that Pinetree Capital's P/E sits below the majority of other companies. Apparently some shareholders believe the recent performance has exceeded its limits and have been accepting significantly lower selling prices.

The Key Takeaway

While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.

Our examination of Pinetree Capital revealed its three-year earnings trends aren't contributing to its P/E anywhere near as much as we would have predicted, given they look better than current market expectations. When we see strong earnings with faster-than-market growth, we assume potential risks are what might be placing significant pressure on the P/E ratio. It appears many are indeed anticipating earnings instability, because the persistence of these recent medium-term conditions would normally provide a boost to the share price.

You need to take note of risks, for example - Pinetree Capital has 2 warning signs (and 1 which is potentially serious) we think you should know about.

You might be able to find a better investment than Pinetree Capital. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.