Stock Analysis

Olympia Financial Group (TSE:OLY) Has Affirmed Its Dividend Of CA$0.23

TSX:OLY
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The board of Olympia Financial Group Inc. (TSE:OLY) has announced that it will pay a dividend of CA$0.23 per share on the 29th of April. This makes the dividend yield 5.5%, which will augment investor returns quite nicely.

See our latest analysis for Olympia Financial Group

Olympia Financial Group Doesn't Earn Enough To Cover Its Payments

Impressive dividend yields are good, but this doesn't matter much if the payments can't be sustained. Prior to this announcement, the company was paying out 102% of what it was earning, however the dividend was quite comfortably covered by free cash flows at a cash payout ratio of only 58%. Given that the dividend is a cash outflow, we think that cash is more important than accounting measures of profit when assessing the dividend, so this is a mitigating factor.

Earnings per share could rise by 3.1% over the next year if things go the same way as they have for the last few years. Assuming the dividend continues along recent trends, we think the payout ratio could reach 103%, which probably can't continue without starting to put some pressure on the balance sheet.

historic-dividend
TSX:OLY Historic Dividend April 12th 2022

Dividend Volatility

While the company has been paying a dividend for a long time, it has cut the dividend at least once in the last 10 years. Since 2012, the dividend has gone from CA$2.60 to CA$2.76. Dividend payments have been growing, but very slowly over the period. Modest growth in the dividend is good to see, but we think this is offset by historical cuts to the payments. It is hard to live on a dividend income if the company's earnings are not consistent.

The Dividend's Growth Prospects Are Limited

With a relatively unstable dividend, it's even more important to evaluate if earnings per share is growing, which could point to a growing dividend in the future. However, Olympia Financial Group has only grown its earnings per share at 3.1% per annum over the past five years. So the company has struggled to grow its EPS yet it's still paying out 102% of its earnings. This gives limited room for the company to raise the dividend in the future.

In Summary

Overall, it's nice to see a consistent dividend payment, but we think that longer term, the current level of payment might be unsustainable. The company is generating plenty of cash, which could maintain the dividend for a while, but the track record hasn't been great. We would probably look elsewhere for an income investment.

Market movements attest to how highly valued a consistent dividend policy is compared to one which is more unpredictable. Still, investors need to consider a host of other factors, apart from dividend payments, when analysing a company. As an example, we've identified 2 warning signs for Olympia Financial Group that you should be aware of before investing. If you are a dividend investor, you might also want to look at our curated list of high yield dividend stocks.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.