Stock Analysis

Atrium Mortgage Investment (TSE:AI) Has Announced A Dividend Of CA$0.075

TSX:AI
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Atrium Mortgage Investment Corporation's (TSE:AI) investors are due to receive a payment of CA$0.075 per share on 11th of August. Based on this payment, the dividend yield on the company's stock will be 9.9%, which is an attractive boost to shareholder returns.

View our latest analysis for Atrium Mortgage Investment

Atrium Mortgage Investment Is Paying Out More Than It Is Earning

While it is great to have a strong dividend yield, we should also consider whether the payment is sustainable. Prior to this announcement, Atrium Mortgage Investment was paying out 78% of earnings and more than 75% of free cash flows. This is usually an indication that the focus of the company is returning cash to shareholders rather than reinvesting it for growth.

Over the next year, EPS is forecast to fall by 1.3%. If the dividend continues along recent trends, we estimate the payout ratio could reach 101%, which could put the dividend in jeopardy if the company's earnings don't improve.

historic-dividend
TSX:AI Historic Dividend July 20th 2023

Dividend Volatility

Although the company has a long dividend history, it has been cut at least once in the last 10 years. The annual payment during the last 10 years was CA$0.83 in 2013, and the most recent fiscal year payment was CA$1.13. This works out to be a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 3.1% a year over that time. It's encouraging to see some dividend growth, but the dividend has been cut at least once, and the size of the cut would eliminate most of the growth anyway, which makes this less attractive as an income investment.

The Dividend's Growth Prospects Are Limited

Given that the dividend has been cut in the past, we need to check if earnings are growing and if that might lead to stronger dividends in the future. Earnings have grown at around 4.1% a year for the past five years, which isn't massive but still better than seeing them shrink. Atrium Mortgage Investment's earnings per share has barely grown, which is not ideal - perhaps this is why the company pays out the majority of its earnings to shareholders. That's fine as far as it goes, but we're less enthusiastic as this often signals that the dividend is likely to grow slower in the future.

Our Thoughts On Atrium Mortgage Investment's Dividend

In summary, while it's good to see that the dividend hasn't been cut, we are a bit cautious about Atrium Mortgage Investment's payments, as there could be some issues with sustaining them into the future. The payments are bit high to be considered sustainable, and the track record isn't the best. We would probably look elsewhere for an income investment.

Market movements attest to how highly valued a consistent dividend policy is compared to one which is more unpredictable. However, there are other things to consider for investors when analysing stock performance. Just as an example, we've come across 3 warning signs for Atrium Mortgage Investment you should be aware of, and 2 of them are potentially serious. Is Atrium Mortgage Investment not quite the opportunity you were looking for? Why not check out our selection of top dividend stocks.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About TSX:AI

Atrium Mortgage Investment

A mortgage lender, provides residential and commercial mortgages services in Canada.

Established dividend payer and good value.

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