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These 4 Measures Indicate That Recipe Unlimited (TSE:RECP) Is Using Debt Extensively
Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We note that Recipe Unlimited Corporation (TSE:RECP) does have debt on its balance sheet. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
See our latest analysis for Recipe Unlimited
How Much Debt Does Recipe Unlimited Carry?
The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Recipe Unlimited had CA$545.8m in debt in December 2020; about the same as the year before. However, because it has a cash reserve of CA$40.5m, its net debt is less, at about CA$505.3m.
How Healthy Is Recipe Unlimited's Balance Sheet?
The latest balance sheet data shows that Recipe Unlimited had liabilities of CA$427.9m due within a year, and liabilities of CA$1.40b falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had CA$40.5m in cash and CA$185.7m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total CA$1.60b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
This deficit casts a shadow over the CA$1.05b company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. At the end of the day, Recipe Unlimited would probably need a major re-capitalization if its creditors were to demand repayment.
We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.
While Recipe Unlimited's debt to EBITDA ratio (4.1) suggests that it uses some debt, its interest cover is very weak, at 1.9, suggesting high leverage. It seems that the business incurs large depreciation and amortisation charges, so maybe its debt load is heavier than it would first appear, since EBITDA is arguably a generous measure of earnings. It seems clear that the cost of borrowing money is negatively impacting returns for shareholders, of late. Worse, Recipe Unlimited's EBIT was down 60% over the last year. If earnings keep going like that over the long term, it has a snowball's chance in hell of paying off that debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Recipe Unlimited can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Over the last three years, Recipe Unlimited actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT. That sort of strong cash conversion gets us as excited as the crowd when the beat drops at a Daft Punk concert.
Our View
To be frank both Recipe Unlimited's level of total liabilities and its track record of (not) growing its EBIT make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. But at least it's pretty decent at converting EBIT to free cash flow; that's encouraging. Overall, it seems to us that Recipe Unlimited's balance sheet is really quite a risk to the business. For this reason we're pretty cautious about the stock, and we think shareholders should keep a close eye on its liquidity. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example Recipe Unlimited has 2 warning signs (and 1 which is potentially serious) we think you should know about.
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
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About TSX:RECP
Recipe Unlimited
Recipe Unlimited Corporation operates and franchises full-service restaurants brands.
Imperfect balance sheet with concerning outlook.