Stock Analysis

MTY Food Group (TSE:MTY) Has Announced That It Will Be Increasing Its Dividend To CA$0.25

TSX:MTY
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MTY Food Group Inc. (TSE:MTY) has announced that it will be increasing its dividend from last year's comparable payment on the 15th of May to CA$0.25. Even though the dividend went up, the yield is still quite low at only 1.7%.

See our latest analysis for MTY Food Group

MTY Food Group's Earnings Easily Cover The Distributions

The dividend yield is a little bit low, but sustainability of the payments is also an important part of evaluating an income stock. Before making this announcement, MTY Food Group was easily earning enough to cover the dividend. This means that most of its earnings are being retained to grow the business.

Unless the company can turn things around, EPS could fall by 6.1% over the next year. If the dividend continues along recent trends, we estimate the payout ratio could be 32%, which we consider to be quite comfortable, with most of the company's earnings left over to grow the business in the future.

historic-dividend
TSX:MTY Historic Dividend April 18th 2023

Dividend Volatility

Although the company has a long dividend history, it has been cut at least once in the last 10 years. The dividend has gone from an annual total of CA$0.22 in 2013 to the most recent total annual payment of CA$1.00. This works out to be a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 16% a year over that time. It is great to see strong growth in the dividend payments, but cuts are concerning as it may indicate the payout policy is too ambitious.

Dividend Growth Is Doubtful

Given that the dividend has been cut in the past, we need to check if earnings are growing and if that might lead to stronger dividends in the future. MTY Food Group has seen earnings per share falling at 6.1% per year over the last five years. If the company is making less over time, it naturally follows that it will also have to pay out less in dividends.

Our Thoughts On MTY Food Group's Dividend

Overall, this is probably not a great income stock, even though the dividend is being raised at the moment. The payments haven't been particularly stable and we don't see huge growth potential, but with the dividend well covered by cash flows it could prove to be reliable over the short term. We would be a touch cautious of relying on this stock primarily for the dividend income.

Market movements attest to how highly valued a consistent dividend policy is compared to one which is more unpredictable. At the same time, there are other factors our readers should be conscious of before pouring capital into a stock. For example, we've identified 3 warning signs for MTY Food Group (2 don't sit too well with us!) that you should be aware of before investing. Is MTY Food Group not quite the opportunity you were looking for? Why not check out our selection of top dividend stocks.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.