Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. As with many other companies Canlan Ice Sports Corp. (TSE:ICE) makes use of debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
View our latest analysis for Canlan Ice Sports
What Is Canlan Ice Sports's Debt?
The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Canlan Ice Sports had CA$55.4m in debt in March 2021; about the same as the year before. However, because it has a cash reserve of CA$6.76m, its net debt is less, at about CA$48.6m.
How Healthy Is Canlan Ice Sports' Balance Sheet?
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Canlan Ice Sports had liabilities of CA$20.8m falling due within a year, and liabilities of CA$58.2m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had CA$6.76m in cash and CA$1.26m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CA$70.9m.
Given this deficit is actually higher than the company's market capitalization of CA$54.1m, we think shareholders really should watch Canlan Ice Sports's debt levels, like a parent watching their child ride a bike for the first time. Hypothetically, extremely heavy dilution would be required if the company were forced to pay down its liabilities by raising capital at the current share price. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Canlan Ice Sports will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
In the last year Canlan Ice Sports had a loss before interest and tax, and actually shrunk its revenue by 72%, to CA$23m. To be frank that doesn't bode well.
Caveat Emptor
While Canlan Ice Sports's falling revenue is about as heartwarming as a wet blanket, arguably its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss is even less appealing. Its EBIT loss was a whopping CA$21m. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above make us nervous about the company. We'd want to see some strong near-term improvements before getting too interested in the stock. Not least because it burned through CA$7.1m in negative free cash flow over the last year. So suffice it to say we consider the stock to be risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. To that end, you should learn about the 3 warning signs we've spotted with Canlan Ice Sports (including 2 which are concerning) .
Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.
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About TSX:ICE
Canlan Ice Sports
Engages in the acquisition, development, lease, and operation of recreation facilities in North America.
Moderate second-rate dividend payer.