Stock Analysis

Bragg Gaming Group Inc.'s (TSE:BRAG) Shares Climb 26% But Its Business Is Yet to Catch Up

TSX:BRAG
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The Bragg Gaming Group Inc. (TSE:BRAG) share price has done very well over the last month, posting an excellent gain of 26%. Looking back a bit further, it's encouraging to see the stock is up 97% in the last year.

Although its price has surged higher, there still wouldn't be many who think Bragg Gaming Group's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.6x is worth a mention when the median P/S in Canada's Hospitality industry is similar at about 1.9x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.

See our latest analysis for Bragg Gaming Group

ps-multiple-vs-industry
TSX:BRAG Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry April 4th 2024

What Does Bragg Gaming Group's Recent Performance Look Like?

There hasn't been much to differentiate Bragg Gaming Group's and the industry's revenue growth lately. It seems that many are expecting the mediocre revenue performance to persist, which has held the P/S ratio back. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this can at least be maintained so that you could pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.

Keen to find out how analysts think Bragg Gaming Group's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

How Is Bragg Gaming Group's Revenue Growth Trending?

Bragg Gaming Group's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver moderate growth, and importantly, perform in line with the industry.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company managed to grow revenues by a handy 10% last year. Pleasingly, revenue has also lifted 101% in aggregate from three years ago, partly thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Accordingly, shareholders would have definitely welcomed those medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 12% as estimated by the eight analysts watching the company. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 194% growth forecast for the broader industry.

With this information, we find it interesting that Bragg Gaming Group is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. Apparently many investors in the company are less bearish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. These shareholders may be setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.

The Final Word

Its shares have lifted substantially and now Bragg Gaming Group's P/S is back within range of the industry median. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

Our look at the analysts forecasts of Bragg Gaming Group's revenue prospects has shown that its inferior revenue outlook isn't negatively impacting its P/S as much as we would have predicted. At present, we aren't confident in the P/S as the predicted future revenues aren't likely to support a more positive sentiment for long. This places shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.

Before you take the next step, you should know about the 1 warning sign for Bragg Gaming Group that we have uncovered.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Bragg Gaming Group might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.