Stock Analysis

North West (TSE:NWC) Could Be A Buy For Its Upcoming Dividend

TSX:NWC
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The North West Company Inc. (TSE:NWC) is about to trade ex-dividend in the next 4 days. This means that investors who purchase shares on or after the 30th of December will not receive the dividend, which will be paid on the 15th of January.

North West's next dividend payment will be CA$0.36 per share, on the back of last year when the company paid a total of CA$1.44 to shareholders. Looking at the last 12 months of distributions, North West has a trailing yield of approximately 4.3% on its current stock price of CA$33.32. Dividends are an important source of income to many shareholders, but the health of the business is crucial to maintaining those dividends. So we need to check whether the dividend payments are covered, and if earnings are growing.

See our latest analysis for North West

Dividends are usually paid out of company profits, so if a company pays out more than it earned then its dividend is usually at greater risk of being cut. North West paid out 53% of its earnings to investors last year, a normal payout level for most businesses. Yet cash flows are even more important than profits for assessing a dividend, so we need to see if the company generated enough cash to pay its distribution. It distributed 33% of its free cash flow as dividends, a comfortable payout level for most companies.

It's positive to see that North West's dividend is covered by both profits and cash flow, since this is generally a sign that the dividend is sustainable, and a lower payout ratio usually suggests a greater margin of safety before the dividend gets cut.

Click here to see the company's payout ratio, plus analyst estimates of its future dividends.

historic-dividend
TSX:NWC Historic Dividend December 25th 2020

Have Earnings And Dividends Been Growing?

Companies with consistently growing earnings per share generally make the best dividend stocks, as they usually find it easier to grow dividends per share. If earnings fall far enough, the company could be forced to cut its dividend. For this reason, we're glad to see North West's earnings per share have risen 14% per annum over the last five years. North West has an average payout ratio which suggests a balance between growing earnings and rewarding shareholders. This is a reasonable combination that could hint at some further dividend increases in the future.

The main way most investors will assess a company's dividend prospects is by checking the historical rate of dividend growth. North West's dividend payments are effectively flat on where they were 10 years ago.

Final Takeaway

From a dividend perspective, should investors buy or avoid North West? We like North West's growing earnings per share and the fact that - while its payout ratio is around average - it paid out a lower percentage of its cash flow. Overall we think this is an attractive combination and worthy of further research.

While it's tempting to invest in North West for the dividends alone, you should always be mindful of the risks involved. In terms of investment risks, we've identified 3 warning signs with North West and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

If you're in the market for dividend stocks, we recommend checking our list of top dividend stocks with a greater than 2% yield and an upcoming dividend.

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Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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