Stock Analysis

    Is Alimentation Couche-Tard Inc (TSE:ATD.B) Attractive At Its Current PE Ratio?

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    This article is intended for those of you who are at the beginning of your investing journey and want to learn about the link between company’s fundamentals and stock market performance.

    Alimentation Couche-Tard Inc (TSE:ATD.B) is currently trading at a trailing P/E of 15.6x, which is lower than the industry average of 19.7x. While this makes ATD.B appear like a great stock to buy, you might change your mind after I explain the assumptions behind the P/E ratio. Today, I will break down what the P/E ratio is, how to interpret it and what to watch out for.

    View our latest analysis for Alimentation Couche-Tard

    Breaking down the Price-Earnings ratio

    TSX:ATD.B PE PEG Gauge August 7th 18
    TSX:ATD.B PE PEG Gauge August 7th 18

    P/E is a popular ratio used for relative valuation. It compares a stock’s price per share to the stock’s earnings per share. A more intuitive way of understanding the P/E ratio is to think of it as how much investors are paying for each dollar of the company’s earnings.

    Formula

    Price-Earnings Ratio = Price per share ÷ Earnings per share

    P/E Calculation for ATD.B

    Price per share = $46.14

    Earnings per share = $2.956

    ∴ Price-Earnings Ratio = $46.14 ÷ $2.956 = 15.6x

    The P/E ratio itself doesn’t tell you a lot; however, it becomes very insightful when you compare it with other similar companies. Ultimately, our goal is to compare the stock’s P/E ratio to the average of companies that have similar attributes to ATD.B, such as company lifetime and products sold. A quick method of creating a peer group is to use companies in the same industry, which is what I will do. Since similar companies should technically have similar P/E ratios, we can very quickly come to some conclusions about the stock if the ratios differ.

    At 15.6x, ATD.B’s P/E is lower than its industry peers (19.7x). This implies that investors are undervaluing each dollar of ATD.B’s earnings. This multiple is a median of profitable companies of 7 Consumer Retailing companies in CA including Metro, North West and Loblaw Companies. Therefore, according to this analysis, ATD.B is an under-priced stock.

    Assumptions to watch out for

    Before you jump to the conclusion that ATD.B represents the perfect buying opportunity, it is important to realise that our conclusion rests on two important assertions. The first is that our peer group actually contains companies that are similar to ATD.B. If this isn’t the case, the difference in P/E could be due to some other factors. For example, if you accidentally compared higher growth firms with ATD.B, then ATD.B’s P/E would naturally be lower since investors would reward its peers’ higher growth with a higher price. Alternatively, if you inadvertently compared less risky firms with ATD.B, ATD.B’s P/E would again be lower since investors would reward its peers’ lower risk with a higher price as well. The second assumption that must hold true is that the stocks we are comparing ATD.B to are fairly valued by the market. If this assumption is violated, ATD.B's P/E may be lower than its peers because its peers are actually overvalued by investors.

    TSX:ATD.B Future Profit August 7th 18
    TSX:ATD.B Future Profit August 7th 18

    What this means for you:

    You may have already conducted fundamental analysis on the stock as a shareholder, so its current undervaluation could signal a good buying opportunity to increase your exposure to ATD.B. Now that you understand the ins and outs of the PE metric, you should know to bear in mind its limitations before you make an investment decision. Remember that basing your investment decision off one metric alone is certainly not sufficient. There are many things I have not taken into account in this article and the PE ratio is very one-dimensional. If you have not done so already, I highly recommend you to complete your research by taking a look at the following:

    1. Future Outlook: What are well-informed industry analysts predicting for ATD.B’s future growth? Take a look at our free research report of analyst consensus for ATD.B’s outlook.
    2. Past Track Record: Has ATD.B been consistently performing well irrespective of the ups and downs in the market? Go into more detail in the past performance analysis and take a look at the free visual representations of ATD.B's historicals for more clarity.
    3. Other High-Performing Stocks: Are there other stocks that provide better prospects with proven track records? Explore our free list of these great stocks here.

    To help readers see past the short term volatility of the financial market, we aim to bring you a long-term focused research analysis purely driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis does not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements.

    The author is an independent contributor and at the time of publication had no position in the stocks mentioned. For errors that warrant correction please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com.

    Simply Wall St analyst Simply Wall St and Simply Wall St have no position in any of the companies mentioned. This article is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.