Stock Analysis

Canada Goose Holdings (TSE:GOOS) sheds CA$90m, company earnings and investor returns have been trending downwards for past five years

TSX:GOOS
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Canada Goose Holdings Inc. (TSE:GOOS) shareholders should be happy to see the share price up 22% in the last month. But that can't change the reality that over the longer term (five years), the returns have been really quite dismal. In that time the share price has delivered a rude shock to holders, who find themselves down 62% after a long stretch. So we're not so sure if the recent bounce should be celebrated. But it could be that the fall was overdone.

With the stock having lost 5.0% in the past week, it's worth taking a look at business performance and seeing if there's any red flags.

See our latest analysis for Canada Goose Holdings

There is no denying that markets are sometimes efficient, but prices do not always reflect underlying business performance. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).

Looking back five years, both Canada Goose Holdings' share price and EPS declined; the latter at a rate of 14% per year. Notably, the share price has fallen at 18% per year, fairly close to the change in the EPS. That suggests that the market sentiment around the company hasn't changed much over that time. Rather, the share price change has reflected changes in earnings per share.

The graphic below depicts how EPS has changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).

earnings-per-share-growth
TSX:GOOS Earnings Per Share Growth June 13th 2024

We consider it positive that insiders have made significant purchases in the last year. Having said that, most people consider earnings and revenue growth trends to be a more meaningful guide to the business. Before buying or selling a stock, we always recommend a close examination of historic growth trends, available here..

A Different Perspective

Investors in Canada Goose Holdings had a tough year, with a total loss of 17%, against a market gain of about 14%. Even the share prices of good stocks drop sometimes, but we want to see improvements in the fundamental metrics of a business, before getting too interested. However, the loss over the last year isn't as bad as the 10% per annum loss investors have suffered over the last half decade. We would want clear information suggesting the company will grow, before taking the view that the share price will stabilize. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Canada Goose Holdings better, we need to consider many other factors. For example, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Canada Goose Holdings that you should be aware of before investing here.

Canada Goose Holdings is not the only stock insiders are buying. So take a peek at this free list of small cap companies at attractive valuations which insiders have been buying.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Canadian exchanges.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.