Stock Analysis

Improved Earnings Required Before Automotive Finco Corp. (CVE:AFCC.H) Shares Find Their Feet

TSXV:AFCC.H
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With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 5.6x Automotive Finco Corp. (CVE:AFCC.H) may be sending very bullish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all companies in Canada have P/E ratios greater than 16x and even P/E's higher than 31x are not unusual. However, the P/E might be quite low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

With earnings growth that's exceedingly strong of late, Automotive Finco has been doing very well. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the P/E. If that doesn't eventuate, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

Check out our latest analysis for Automotive Finco

pe-multiple-vs-industry
TSXV:AFCC.H Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry September 21st 2024
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Automotive Finco's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/E?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as depressed as Automotive Finco's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the market decidedly.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 191% gain to the company's bottom line. Although, its longer-term performance hasn't been as strong with three-year EPS growth being relatively non-existent overall. Accordingly, shareholders probably wouldn't have been overly satisfied with the unstable medium-term growth rates.

This is in contrast to the rest of the market, which is expected to grow by 26% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

In light of this, it's understandable that Automotive Finco's P/E sits below the majority of other companies. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on to something they believe will continue to trail the bourse.

The Bottom Line On Automotive Finco's P/E

Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

We've established that Automotive Finco maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its recent three-year growth being lower than the wider market forecast, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in earnings isn't great enough to justify a higher P/E ratio. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

Before you take the next step, you should know about the 3 warning signs for Automotive Finco (1 is a bit unpleasant!) that we have uncovered.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Automotive Finco, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.