Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We note that BRP Inc. (TSE:DOO) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
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What Is BRP's Net Debt?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at October 2023 BRP had debt of CA$2.92b, up from CA$2.70b in one year. However, it also had CA$283.6m in cash, and so its net debt is CA$2.63b.
A Look At BRP's Liabilities
The latest balance sheet data shows that BRP had liabilities of CA$2.62b due within a year, and liabilities of CA$3.57b falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of CA$283.6m and CA$590.4m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total CA$5.31b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
This is a mountain of leverage relative to its market capitalization of CA$6.62b. Should its lenders demand that it shore up the balance sheet, shareholders would likely face severe dilution.
In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.
With a debt to EBITDA ratio of 1.5, BRP uses debt artfully but responsibly. And the alluring interest cover (EBIT of 9.0 times interest expense) certainly does not do anything to dispel this impression. And we also note warmly that BRP grew its EBIT by 13% last year, making its debt load easier to handle. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine BRP's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. In the last three years, BRP's free cash flow amounted to 25% of its EBIT, less than we'd expect. That's not great, when it comes to paying down debt.
Our View
Even if we have reservations about how easily BRP is capable of staying on top of its total liabilities, its interest cover and EBIT growth rate make us think feel relatively unconcerned. Looking at all the angles mentioned above, it does seem to us that BRP is a somewhat risky investment as a result of its debt. That's not necessarily a bad thing, since leverage can boost returns on equity, but it is something to be aware of. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. We've identified 1 warning sign with BRP , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSX:DOO
BRP
Designs, develops, manufactures, distributes, and markets powersports vehicles and marine products in the United States, Canada, Europe, the Asia Pacific, Mexico, Austria, and internationally.
Good value with reasonable growth potential.