Stock Analysis

3 TSX Stocks Trading At Up To 30.6% Below Intrinsic Value Estimates

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In the last week, the Canadian market has been flat, but it is up 13% over the past year with earnings expected to grow by 15% per annum over the next few years. In this promising environment, identifying undervalued stocks can be a strategic way to capitalize on potential growth while minimizing risk.

Top 10 Undervalued Stocks Based On Cash Flows In Canada

NameCurrent PriceFair Value (Est)Discount (Est)
goeasy (TSX:GSY)CA$189.67CA$359.4947.2%
Computer Modelling Group (TSX:CMG)CA$12.74CA$22.2642.8%
Alvopetro Energy (TSXV:ALV)CA$5.04CA$9.0444.3%
Kinaxis (TSX:KXS)CA$147.32CA$279.8247.4%
Obsidian Energy (TSX:OBE)CA$9.26CA$18.2249.2%
Africa Oil (TSX:AOI)CA$2.06CA$3.6944.1%
Calibre Mining (TSX:CXB)CA$2.28CA$4.5449.7%
Viemed Healthcare (TSX:VMD)CA$10.45CA$20.0848%
NFI Group (TSX:NFI)CA$19.31CA$37.6948.8%
NanoXplore (TSX:GRA)CA$2.25CA$4.1946.3%

Click here to see the full list of 30 stocks from our Undervalued TSX Stocks Based On Cash Flows screener.

Underneath we present a selection of stocks filtered out by our screen.

Constellation Software (TSX:CSU)

Overview: Constellation Software Inc. acquires, builds, and manages vertical market software businesses across Canada, the United States, Europe, and internationally with a market cap of CA$93.26 billion.

Operations: Revenue from the Software & Programming segment totaled $9.27 billion.

Estimated Discount To Fair Value: 20.6%

Constellation Software Inc. is trading at CA$4400.69, significantly below its estimated fair value of CA$5540.97, suggesting it may be undervalued based on cash flows. Recent earnings reports show strong growth with Q2 revenue at US$2.47 billion and net income of US$177 million, reflecting a substantial increase from the previous year. Despite high debt levels, its projected annual profit growth of 23.6% outpaces the Canadian market's 15.4%, highlighting significant potential for investors focused on cash flow valuation metrics.

TSX:CSU Discounted Cash Flow as at Sep 2024

GFL Environmental (TSX:GFL)

Overview: GFL Environmental Inc. provides non-hazardous solid waste management and environmental services in Canada and the United States, with a market cap of CA$21.99 billion.

Operations: The company's revenue segments include CA$4.79 billion from Solid Waste in the USA, CA$2.16 billion from Solid Waste in Canada, and CA$1.67 billion from Environmental Services.

Estimated Discount To Fair Value: 30.6%

GFL Environmental Inc. is trading at CA$58.4, significantly below its estimated fair value of CA$84.1, indicating it may be undervalued based on cash flows. The company reported Q2 2024 revenue of CA$2.06 billion, up from CA$1.94 billion a year ago, but posted a net loss of CA$471.2 million compared to net income last year due to higher expenses and divestitures. Despite recent losses, GFL's revenue is forecasted to grow annually by 7.1%, outpacing the Canadian market's 6.9%.

TSX:GFL Discounted Cash Flow as at Sep 2024

MDA Space (TSX:MDA)

Overview: MDA Space Ltd. designs, manufactures, and services space robotics, satellite systems and components, and intelligence systems globally with a market cap of CA$1.90 billion.

Operations: MDA Space Ltd.'s revenue segments include Geointelligence, Robotics & Space Operations, and Satellite Systems, totaling CA$860.80 million.

Estimated Discount To Fair Value: 17%

MDA Space Ltd. reported Q2 2024 sales of CA$242 million, up from CA$196 million a year ago, with net income rising to CA$11 million from CA$9.9 million. The company expects robust revenue growth, forecasting between $1.02 billion and $1.06 billion for 2024, driven by substantial contracts like the Canadarm3 program worth $1 billion. Trading at CA$15.85, below its estimated fair value of CA$19.09, MDA's earnings are forecasted to grow significantly at 50% annually over the next three years.

TSX:MDA Discounted Cash Flow as at Sep 2024

Taking Advantage

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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