MDA Space Ltd.

TSX:MDA Stock Report

Market Cap: CA$4.7b

MDA Space Valuation

Is MDA undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Future Cash Flow Value

  • Significantly Below Future Cash Flow Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Future Cash Flow Value

What is the Fair Price of MDA when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Ultimate guide to DCF valuation for stock investing

Learn how to determine fair value like the best investors in the world.

Below Future Cash Flow Value: MDA (CA$36.56) is trading above our estimate of future cash flow value (CA$4.99)

Significantly Below Future Cash Flow Value: MDA is trading above our estimate of future cash flow value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for MDA?

Key metric: As MDA is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for MDA. This is calculated by dividing MDA's market cap by their current earnings.
What is MDA's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio42.1x
EarningsCA$109.60m
Market CapCA$4.70b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does MDA's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for MDA vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average35.6x
MAL Magellan Aerospace
30x36.23%CA$1.3b
CAE CAE
34x11.58%CA$14.8b
BBD.B Bombardier
46.1x25.06%CA$26.6b
BDGI Badger Infrastructure Solutions
32.2x24.39%CA$2.7b
MDA MDA Space
42.1x12.12%CA$4.7b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: MDA is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (42.1x) compared to the peer average (35.6x).

Historical Price to Earnings Ratio

Historical Price to Earnings Ratio compares a stock's price to its earnings over time. Higher ratios indicate that investors are willing to pay more for the stock.

Fetching historical data

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does MDA's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the North American Aerospace & Defense Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
MDA 42.1xIndustry Avg. 40.7xNo. of Companies8PE020406080100+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: MDA is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (42.1x) compared to the North American Aerospace & Defense industry average (40.7x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is MDA's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

MDA PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio42.1x
Fair PE Ratio27.9x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: MDA is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (42.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (27.9x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst MDA forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentCA$36.56
CA$41.94
+14.71%
14.06%CA$50.00CA$32.00n/a8
Jan ’27CA$26.64
CA$40.19
+50.85%
16.13%CA$50.00CA$32.00n/a8
Dec ’26CA$23.25
CA$38.79
+66.82%
14.65%CA$48.00CA$32.00n/a7
Nov ’26CA$27.38
CA$42.69
+55.91%
11.31%CA$48.00CA$35.00n/a8
Oct ’26CA$34.31
CA$42.93
+25.12%
9.37%CA$47.50CA$35.00n/a7
Sep ’26CA$44.41
CA$51.43
+15.80%
14.80%CA$56.00CA$33.00n/a7
Aug ’26CA$45.93
CA$43.71
-4.82%
19.25%CA$55.00CA$33.00n/a7
Jul ’26CA$35.11
CA$35.56
+1.29%
9.47%CA$42.00CA$32.50n/a8
Jun ’26CA$28.39
CA$34.19
+20.42%
5.66%CA$38.00CA$31.50n/a8
May ’26CA$26.84
CA$34.94
+30.17%
6.80%CA$39.00CA$31.50n/a8
Apr ’26CA$26.49
CA$34.94
+31.89%
6.80%CA$39.00CA$31.50n/a8
Mar ’26CA$23.21
CA$32.56
+40.30%
8.80%CA$38.00CA$28.50n/a8
Feb ’26CA$23.06
CA$33.13
+43.65%
7.31%CA$38.00CA$30.00n/a8
Jan ’26CA$29.53
CA$32.63
+10.48%
10.04%CA$38.00CA$26.00CA$26.648
Dec ’25CA$26.91
CA$29.25
+8.70%
5.34%CA$31.00CA$26.00CA$23.258
Nov ’25CA$23.51
CA$20.75
-11.74%
22.44%CA$26.00CA$15.00CA$27.388
Oct ’25CA$17.40
CA$18.00
+3.45%
15.71%CA$22.00CA$15.00CA$34.317
Sep ’25CA$15.85
CA$17.71
+11.76%
15.30%CA$22.00CA$15.00CA$44.417
Aug ’25CA$12.72
CA$16.50
+29.72%
12.86%CA$20.00CA$14.00CA$45.937
Jul ’25CA$13.66
CA$16.29
+19.22%
11.11%CA$19.00CA$14.00CA$35.117
Jun ’25CA$11.78
CA$16.29
+38.25%
11.11%CA$19.00CA$14.00CA$28.397
May ’25CA$14.58
CA$16.00
+9.74%
12.39%CA$19.00CA$13.00CA$26.847
Apr ’25CA$14.93
CA$15.79
+5.73%
11.21%CA$19.00CA$13.00CA$26.497
Mar ’25CA$14.71
CA$15.79
+7.31%
11.21%CA$19.00CA$13.00CA$23.217
Feb ’25CA$11.24
CA$14.68
+30.59%
12.17%CA$18.00CA$12.75CA$23.067
Jan ’25CA$11.52
CA$14.46
+25.56%
11.77%CA$18.00CA$12.75CA$29.537
CA$41.94
Fair Value
12.8% undervalued intrinsic discount
8
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/01/22 17:33
End of Day Share Price 2026/01/22 00:00
Earnings2025/09/30
Annual Earnings2024/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

MDA Space Ltd. is covered by 14 analysts. 9 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Russell StanleyBeacon Securities Limited
Thanos MoschopoulosBMO Capital Markets Equity Research
null nullBMO Capital Markets Equity Research