Stock Analysis

Is Blackline Safety (TSE:BLN) Using Debt In A Risky Way?

Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We note that Blackline Safety Corp. (TSE:BLN) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

Advertisement

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Blackline Safety

What Is Blackline Safety's Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at July 2023 Blackline Safety had debt of CA$17.5m, up from none in one year. But on the other hand it also has CA$17.6m in cash, leading to a CA$92.0k net cash position.

debt-equity-history-analysis
TSX:BLN Debt to Equity History October 19th 2023

A Look At Blackline Safety's Liabilities

According to the last reported balance sheet, Blackline Safety had liabilities of CA$40.1m due within 12 months, and liabilities of CA$28.7m due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of CA$17.6m and CA$35.0m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total CA$16.1m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

Given Blackline Safety has a market capitalization of CA$280.6m, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time. Despite its noteworthy liabilities, Blackline Safety boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load! The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Blackline Safety can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Over 12 months, Blackline Safety reported revenue of CA$92m, which is a gain of 31%, although it did not report any earnings before interest and tax. With any luck the company will be able to grow its way to profitability.

So How Risky Is Blackline Safety?

We have no doubt that loss making companies are, in general, riskier than profitable ones. And the fact is that over the last twelve months Blackline Safety lost money at the earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) line. Indeed, in that time it burnt through CA$42m of cash and made a loss of CA$31m. But at least it has CA$92.0k on the balance sheet to spend on growth, near-term. Blackline Safety's revenue growth shone bright over the last year, so it may well be in a position to turn a profit in due course. Pre-profit companies are often risky, but they can also offer great rewards. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. To that end, you should learn about the 2 warning signs we've spotted with Blackline Safety (including 1 which can't be ignored) .

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Blackline Safety might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

Access Free Analysis

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About TSX:BLN

Blackline Safety

Develops, manufactures, and markets worker safety monitoring products and services in Canada, the United States, Europe, and internationally.

Adequate balance sheet and fair value.

Advertisement

Weekly Picks

RO
RockeTeller
SCZ logo
RockeTeller on Santacruz Silver Mining ·

Crazy Undervalued 42 Baggers Silver Play (Active & Running Mine)

Fair Value:CA$8696.7% undervalued
47 users have followed this narrative
6 users have commented on this narrative
15 users have liked this narrative
RO
Robbo
FID logo
Robbo on Fiducian Group ·

Fiducian: Compliance Clouds or Value Opportunity?

Fair Value:AU$123.8% undervalued
7 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative
WO
WVVI logo
woodworthfund on Willamette Valley Vineyards ·

Willamette Valley Vineyards (WVVI): Not-So-Great Value

Fair Value:US$247.5% overvalued
9 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
1 users have liked this narrative

Updated Narratives

IN
PSD logo
IncomeAssets on Pulse Seismic ·

Watch Pulse Seismic Outperform with 13.6% Revenue Growth in the Coming Years

Fair Value:CA$4.4729.5% undervalued
2 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative
VL
GGO logo
Vladislav on Galleon Gold ·

Significantly undervalued gold explorer in Timmins, finally getting traction

Fair Value:CA$482.8% undervalued
4 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative
FU
CCP logo
FundamentallySarcastic on Credit Corp Group ·

Moderation and Stabilisation: HOLD: Fair Price based on a 4-year Cycle is $12.08

Fair Value:AU$12.6411.8% overvalued
5 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative

Popular Narratives

TH
TheWallstreetKing
MVIS logo
TheWallstreetKing on MicroVision ·

MicroVision will explode future revenue by 380.37% with a vision towards success

Fair Value:US$6098.5% undervalued
116 users have followed this narrative
11 users have commented on this narrative
22 users have liked this narrative
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
NVDA logo
AnalystConsensusTarget on NVIDIA ·

NVDA: Expanding AI Demand Will Drive Major Data Center Investments Through 2026

Fair Value:US$250.3926.8% undervalued
957 users have followed this narrative
6 users have commented on this narrative
25 users have liked this narrative
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
GOOGL logo
AnalystConsensusTarget on Alphabet ·

GOOGL: AI Platform Expansion And Cloud Demand Will Support Durable Performance Amid Competitive Pressures

Fair Value:US$323.71.9% undervalued
1342 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
17 users have liked this narrative

Trending Discussion