Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. As with many other companies Black Diamond Group Limited (TSE:BDI) makes use of debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
Check out our latest analysis for Black Diamond Group
What Is Black Diamond Group's Net Debt?
As you can see below, at the end of December 2020, Black Diamond Group had CA$175.7m of debt, up from CA$102.4m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, it also had CA$3.68m in cash, and so its net debt is CA$172.1m.
A Look At Black Diamond Group's Liabilities
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Black Diamond Group had liabilities of CA$50.8m falling due within a year, and liabilities of CA$234.5m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CA$3.68m as well as receivables valued at CA$46.4m due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CA$235.1m.
When you consider that this deficiency exceeds the company's CA$194.5m market capitalization, you might well be inclined to review the balance sheet intently. Hypothetically, extremely heavy dilution would be required if the company were forced to pay down its liabilities by raising capital at the current share price.
We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).
Weak interest cover of 0.39 times and a disturbingly high net debt to EBITDA ratio of 5.9 hit our confidence in Black Diamond Group like a one-two punch to the gut. This means we'd consider it to have a heavy debt load. One redeeming factor for Black Diamond Group is that it turned last year's EBIT loss into a gain of CA$1.8m, over the last twelve months. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Black Diamond Group can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of the earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) is backed by free cash flow. Over the last year, Black Diamond Group actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT. That sort of strong cash generation warms our hearts like a puppy in a bumblebee suit.
Our View
On the face of it, Black Diamond Group's net debt to EBITDA left us tentative about the stock, and its interest cover was no more enticing than the one empty restaurant on the busiest night of the year. But at least it's pretty decent at converting EBIT to free cash flow; that's encouraging. Once we consider all the factors above, together, it seems to us that Black Diamond Group's debt is making it a bit risky. That's not necessarily a bad thing, but we'd generally feel more comfortable with less leverage. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Case in point: We've spotted 1 warning sign for Black Diamond Group you should be aware of.
When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.
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About TSX:BDI
Black Diamond Group
Black Diamond Group Limited rents and sells modular space and workforce accommodation solutions in Canada, the United States, and Australia.
Undervalued with mediocre balance sheet.
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