Stock Analysis

Should You Be Concerned About Hardwoods Distribution Inc.'s (TSE:HDI) Historical Volatility?

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If you own shares in Hardwoods Distribution Inc. (TSE:HDI) then it's worth thinking about how it contributes to the volatility of your portfolio, overall. In finance, Beta is a measure of volatility. Modern finance theory considers volatility to be a measure of risk, and there are two main types of price volatility. The first category is company specific volatility. This can be dealt with by limiting your exposure to any particular stock. The second type is the broader market volatility, which you cannot diversify away, since it arises from macroeconomic factors which directly affects all the stocks on the market.

Some stocks are more sensitive to general market forces than others. Beta is a widely used metric to measure a stock's exposure to market risk (volatility). Before we go on, it's worth noting that Warren Buffett pointed out in his 2014 letter to shareholders that 'volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' Having said that, beta can still be rather useful. The first thing to understand about beta is that the beta of the overall market is one. A stock with a beta greater than one is more sensitive to broader market movements than a stock with a beta of less than one.

See our latest analysis for Hardwoods Distribution

What does HDI's beta value mean to investors?

Looking at the last five years, Hardwoods Distribution has a beta of 1.55. The fact that this is well above 1 indicates that its share price movements have shown sensitivity to overall market volatility. If the past is any guide, we would expect that Hardwoods Distribution shares will rise quicker than the markets in times of optimism, but fall faster in times of pessimism. Beta is worth considering, but it's also important to consider whether Hardwoods Distribution is growing earnings and revenue. You can take a look for yourself, below.

TSX:HDI Income Statement April 20th 2020
TSX:HDI Income Statement April 20th 2020

How does HDI's size impact its beta?

Hardwoods Distribution is a rather small company. It has a market capitalisation of CA$241m, which means it is probably under the radar of most investors. Relatively few investors can influence the price of a smaller company, compared to a large company. This could explain the high beta value, in this case.

What this means for you:

Since Hardwoods Distribution has a reasonably high beta, it's worth considering why it is so heavily influenced by broader market sentiment. For example, it might be a high growth stock or have a lot of operating leverage in its business model. In order to fully understand whether HDI is a good investment for you, we also need to consider important company-specific fundamentals such as Hardwoods Distribution’s financial health and performance track record. I urge you to continue your research by taking a look at the following:

  1. Future Outlook: What are well-informed industry analysts predicting for HDI’s future growth? Take a look at our free research report of analyst consensus for HDI’s outlook.
  2. Past Track Record: Has HDI been consistently performing well irrespective of the ups and downs in the market? Go into more detail in the past performance analysis and take a look at the free visual representations of HDI's historicals for more clarity.
  3. Other Interesting Stocks: It's worth checking to see how HDI measures up against other companies on valuation. You could start with this free list of prospective options.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Thank you for reading.