Stock Analysis

What Is SNC-Lavalin Group Inc.'s (TSE:ATRL) Share Price Doing?

TSX:ATRL
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SNC-Lavalin Group Inc. (TSE:ATRL), is not the largest company out there, but it saw a decent share price growth of 14% on the TSX over the last few months. The recent share price gains has brought the company back closer to its yearly peak. As a mid-cap stock with high coverage by analysts, you could assume any recent changes in the company’s outlook is already priced into the stock. But what if there is still an opportunity to buy? Let’s take a look at SNC-Lavalin Group’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if the opportunity still exists.

View our latest analysis for SNC-Lavalin Group

What Is SNC-Lavalin Group Worth?

SNC-Lavalin Group is currently expensive based on our price multiple model, where we look at the company's price-to-earnings ratio in comparison to the industry average. In this instance, we’ve used the price-to-earnings (PE) ratio given that there is not enough information to reliably forecast the stock’s cash flows. We find that SNC-Lavalin Group’s ratio of 52.58x is above its peer average of 30.81x, which suggests the stock is trading at a higher price compared to the Construction industry. But, is there another opportunity to buy low in the future? Since SNC-Lavalin Group’s share price is quite volatile, this could mean it can sink lower (or rise even further) in the future, giving us another chance to invest. This is based on its high beta, which is a good indicator for how much the stock moves relative to the rest of the market.

What does the future of SNC-Lavalin Group look like?

earnings-and-revenue-growth
TSX:ATRL Earnings and Revenue Growth December 25th 2023

Investors looking for growth in their portfolio may want to consider the prospects of a company before buying its shares. Buying a great company with a robust outlook at a cheap price is always a good investment, so let’s also take a look at the company's future expectations. SNC-Lavalin Group's earnings over the next few years are expected to double, indicating a very optimistic future ahead. This should lead to stronger cash flows, feeding into a higher share value.

What This Means For You

Are you a shareholder? It seems like the market has well and truly priced in ATRL’s positive outlook, with shares trading above industry price multiples. However, this brings up another question – is now the right time to sell? If you believe ATRL should trade below its current price, selling high and buying it back up again when its price falls towards the industry PE ratio can be profitable. But before you make this decision, take a look at whether its fundamentals have changed.

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping tabs on ATRL for some time, now may not be the best time to enter into the stock. The price has surpassed its industry peers, which means it is likely that there is no more upside from mispricing. However, the optimistic prospect is encouraging for ATRL, which means it’s worth diving deeper into other factors in order to take advantage of the next price drop.

So while earnings quality is important, it's equally important to consider the risks facing SNC-Lavalin Group at this point in time. Case in point: We've spotted 1 warning sign for SNC-Lavalin Group you should be aware of.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.