Stock Analysis

AtkinsRéalis Group Inc.'s (TSE:ATRL) P/E Is Still On The Mark Following 26% Share Price Bounce

TSX:ATRL
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AtkinsRéalis Group Inc. (TSE:ATRL) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 26% after a shaky period beforehand. The last 30 days bring the annual gain to a very sharp 78%.

After such a large jump in price, AtkinsRéalis Group may be sending very bearish signals at the moment with a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 36.3x, since almost half of all companies in Canada have P/E ratios under 15x and even P/E's lower than 7x are not unusual. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.

Recent times have been pleasing for AtkinsRéalis Group as its earnings have risen in spite of the market's earnings going into reverse. The P/E is probably high because investors think the company will continue to navigate the broader market headwinds better than most. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

View our latest analysis for AtkinsRéalis Group

pe-multiple-vs-industry
TSX:ATRL Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry October 26th 2024
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on AtkinsRéalis Group.

What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/E?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the market for P/E ratios like AtkinsRéalis Group's to be considered reasonable.

If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 291%. Still, EPS has barely risen at all from three years ago in total, which is not ideal. Therefore, it's fair to say that earnings growth has been inconsistent recently for the company.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the twelve analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 43% per annum over the next three years. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to only expand by 10% each year, which is noticeably less attractive.

In light of this, it's understandable that AtkinsRéalis Group's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently shareholders aren't keen to offload something that is potentially eyeing a more prosperous future.

The Final Word

The strong share price surge has got AtkinsRéalis Group's P/E rushing to great heights as well. We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

We've established that AtkinsRéalis Group maintains its high P/E on the strength of its forecast growth being higher than the wider market, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in earnings isn't great enough to justify a lower P/E ratio. It's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

Having said that, be aware AtkinsRéalis Group is showing 1 warning sign in our investment analysis, you should know about.

You might be able to find a better investment than AtkinsRéalis Group. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.