We Think That There Are Issues Underlying Aecon Group's (TSE:ARE) Earnings

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TSX:ARE 1 Year Share Price vs Fair Value
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Aecon Group Inc.'s (TSE:ARE) robust earnings report didn't manage to move the market for its stock. We did some digging, and we found some concerning factors in the details.

TSX:ARE Earnings and Revenue History August 8th 2025

How Do Unusual Items Influence Profit?

For anyone who wants to understand Aecon Group's profit beyond the statutory numbers, it's important to note that during the last twelve months statutory profit gained from CA$11m worth of unusual items. While we like to see profit increases, we tend to be a little more cautious when unusual items have made a big contribution. When we crunched the numbers on thousands of publicly listed companies, we found that a boost from unusual items in a given year is often not repeated the next year. And that's as you'd expect, given these boosts are described as 'unusual'. If Aecon Group doesn't see that contribution repeat, then all else being equal we'd expect its profit to drop over the current year.

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

Our Take On Aecon Group's Profit Performance

Arguably, Aecon Group's statutory earnings have been distorted by unusual items boosting profit. Because of this, we think that it may be that Aecon Group's statutory profits are better than its underlying earnings power. The silver lining is that its EPS growth over the last year has been really wonderful, even if it's not a perfect measure. Of course, we've only just scratched the surface when it comes to analysing its earnings; one could also consider margins, forecast growth, and return on investment, among other factors. So while earnings quality is important, it's equally important to consider the risks facing Aecon Group at this point in time. To that end, you should learn about the 2 warning signs we've spotted with Aecon Group (including 1 which is concerning).

Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of Aecon Group's profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with significant insider holdings to be useful.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Aecon Group might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.