Aecon Group Inc.

TSX:ARE Stock Report

Market Cap: CA$3.1b

Aecon Group Dividends and Buybacks

Dividend criteria checks 4/6

Aecon Group is a dividend paying company with a current yield of 1.7%.

Key information

1.7%

Dividend yield

-5.0%

Buyback Yield

Total Shareholder Yield-3.3%
Future Dividend Yield1.7%
Dividend Growth6.5%
Next dividend pay daten/a
Ex dividend daten/a
Dividend per sharen/a
Payout ratio138%

Recent dividend and buyback updates

Analysis Article Aug 05

Aecon Group (TSE:ARE) Will Pay A Dividend Of CA$0.19

The board of Aecon Group Inc. ( TSE:ARE ) has announced that it will pay a dividend on the 2nd of October, with...

Recent updates

Narrative Update May 12

ARE: Future Returns Will Reflect Equity Raise, Record Backlog And Dividend Commitment

Aecon Group's analyst fair value estimate has been updated from CA$45.50 to CA$52.18, reflecting a series of recent price target increases across the Street as analysts incorporate revised assumptions on discount rates, margins, and future P/E multiples. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Aecon Group has been heavily skewed toward higher price targets, with several firms updating their models and resetting expectations for what they view as a more fully valued outlook for the stock.
Narrative Update Apr 22

ARE: Future Returns Will Reflect Equity Raise, Backlog Delivery And Dividend Commitment

Aecon Group's updated analyst fair value estimate has shifted modestly higher to CA$45.50, with analysts citing recent CA$0.50 to CA$5.25 price target increases and refreshed models that incorporate small adjustments to revenue growth assumptions, profit margin expectations, and future P/E multiples. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Aecon Group centers on a cluster of price target revisions and refreshed coverage that collectively feed into the updated fair value estimate.
Narrative Update Apr 06

ARE: Future Returns Will Reflect Equity Raise Strength And Backlog Execution Risk

Aecon Group's updated analyst price target reflects a higher fair value estimate of CA$44.64, supported by recent target raises from multiple firms and analyst expectations for slightly stronger revenue growth and a higher future P/E multiple, partially balanced by modestly lower profit margin assumptions. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Aecon Group focuses on higher price targets and a mix of ratings that range from Hold and Sector Perform to Buy.
Narrative Update Mar 22

ARE: Future Cash Flows Will Reflect Tighter Margins And Backlog Driven Risk Balance

Aecon Group's updated analyst price target of CA$40.96, up from CA$36.75, reflects recent target increases across the Street, with analysts pointing to adjusted assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E multiples. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Aecon Group points to a clear reset in expectations, with several price targets now aligned in a higher C$38 to C$52 range.
New Narrative Mar 08

Bullish View Expects Nuclear And Power Backlog To Drive Long-Term Upside

Catalysts About Aecon Group Aecon Group is a construction and infrastructure company with core exposure to power, utilities, transportation, nuclear and concessions in Canada and select international markets. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?
Narrative Update Mar 07

ARE: Future Cash Flows Will Reflect Tighter Margins And Balanced Risk Profile

Narrative Update on Aecon Group Analysts have nudged their Aecon Group price target higher to CA$36.75 from CA$35.34, citing updated assumptions around fair value, a slightly lower discount rate, and modest tweaks to revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E inputs. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research does not focus directly on Aecon Group, but it offers some useful context from coverage of a large real estate owner with exposure to occupancy trends and earnings visibility.
Narrative Update Feb 20

ARE: Medium Term Earnings Will Reflect Tighter Margins And Measured Risk Profile

Narrative Update on Aecon Group The analyst price target for Aecon Group has shifted slightly higher, from about CA$34.09 to CA$35.34, as analysts factor in updated views on discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E expectations. Analyst Commentary Recent research around Aecon Group signals a mix of optimism and caution, reflected in the modestly higher price target and the assumptions behind it.
Narrative Update Feb 06

ARE: Balanced Medium Term Earnings Outlook Will Reflect Tighter Margins And Measured Risk Profile

Analysts have raised their price target on Aecon Group to $34.09 from $33.18, citing updated assumptions that include a 5.38% revenue growth outlook, a 3.91% profit margin, an 11.73x future P/E, and a slightly higher 8.26% discount rate. Analyst Commentary Recent valuation work on Aecon Group reflects a balanced mix of optimism and caution, with analysts updating their models around revenue growth, margins, and the applied P/E multiple.
Narrative Update Jan 22

ARE: Backlog And Guidance Will Support Balanced Medium Term Earnings Outlook

Narrative Update on Aecon Group Analysts have adjusted their outlook on Aecon Group, with price targets now ranging from C$30 to C$35 compared with prior targets clustered around C$26. This reflects mixed views on the shares, even though updated assumptions on discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E leave the modelled fair value estimate broadly unchanged.
Analysis Article Jan 18

Is Aecon Group (TSE:ARE) Using Too Much Debt?

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the...
Narrative Update Jan 08

ARE: Backlog And New Contracts Will Support Balanced Medium Term Earnings Outlook

Aecon Group’s analyst price targets have recently shifted higher, with moves such as RBC Capital’s increase to C$30 from C$26 and other targets in the C$32 to C$35 range. Analysts are reassessing the company using updated assumptions for growth, margins and valuation multiples.
Narrative Update Dec 21

ARE: Record Backlog And New Contracts Will Support Steady Medium Term Earnings

Aecon Group's analyst price target has inched higher to C$30, up from a prior consensus closer to the mid C$20s. Analysts cite modestly stronger revenue growth expectations, a slightly lower perceived risk profile, and a marginally higher future earnings multiple, despite some recent rating downgrades.
Narrative Update Dec 07

ARE: Record Backlog And New Contracts Will Support Steady Earnings Outlook

Analysts have increased their average price target on Aecon Group, reflecting recent raises from firms such as RBC Capital, CIBC, ATB Capital and Stifel. They point to improved margin expectations and a modestly lower perceived risk profile, which are reflected in our updated discount rate and profit margin assumptions.
Narrative Update Nov 23

ARE: New Contracts And Record Backlog Will Drive Sustained Earnings Momentum

Aecon Group's average analyst price target has increased, with several analysts citing recent project wins and anticipated revenue growth as justification for raising their targets by C$4 to C$6 per share. Analyst Commentary Recent analyst activity around Aecon Group reveals a mix of optimism and caution, reflecting both the company's opportunities and the challenges it may face going forward.
Narrative Update Nov 05

ARE: Project Wins And Record Backlog Will Drive Upside Momentum Ahead

Aecon Group’s analyst price target has increased significantly from approximately $25.55 to $33.09, as analysts highlight stronger expected revenue growth and recent upward revisions from several research firms. Analyst Commentary Recent updates from street analysts highlight both optimism and caution surrounding Aecon Group's outlook.
Analysis Article Oct 29

Aecon Group Inc. (TSE:ARE) Looks Just Right With A 29% Price Jump

Aecon Group Inc. ( TSE:ARE ) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 29% gain in the last month alone. The...
Narrative Update Oct 22

Analyst Views Mixed as Aecon Group Sees Higher Price Target and Improved Outlook

Aecon Group's analyst price target has been raised from C$24.82 to C$25.55. This change reflects analysts' increased confidence in slightly higher revenue growth and improved profit margins.
Narrative Update Oct 08

Electrification And Nuclear Projects Will Transform US And Canadian Infrastructure

Aecon Group's analyst price target has been raised from C$23.27 to C$24.82. This change reflects analysts' increased confidence due to slightly improved profit margin forecasts and a modestly lower discount rate.
Analysis Article Aug 08

We Think That There Are Issues Underlying Aecon Group's (TSE:ARE) Earnings

TSX:ARE 1 Year Share Price vs Fair Value Explore Aecon Group's Fair Values from the Community and select yours Aecon...
Analysis Article Aug 05

Aecon Group (TSE:ARE) Will Pay A Dividend Of CA$0.19

The board of Aecon Group Inc. ( TSE:ARE ) has announced that it will pay a dividend on the 2nd of October, with...
Analysis Article May 27

Investors Still Aren't Entirely Convinced By Aecon Group Inc.'s (TSE:ARE) Revenues Despite 26% Price Jump

Those holding Aecon Group Inc. ( TSE:ARE ) shares would be relieved that the share price has rebounded 26% in the last...
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New Narrative Apr 23

Backlog And New Projects Will Unlock US Market Opportunities

The strong backlog and strategic focus on high-margin sectors position Aecon for potential revenue growth and improved margins as key projects transition to execution.
Analysis Article Mar 08

CA$26.36: That's What Analysts Think Aecon Group Inc. (TSE:ARE) Is Worth After Its Latest Results

Shareholders in Aecon Group Inc. ( TSE:ARE ) had a terrible week, as shares crashed 20% to CA$17.96 in the week since...
Analysis Article Mar 06

Cautious Investors Not Rewarding Aecon Group Inc.'s (TSE:ARE) Performance Completely

Aecon Group Inc.'s ( TSE:ARE ) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.3x may look like a pretty appealing investment...
Analysis Article Jan 24

Does Aecon Group (TSE:ARE) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of...
Analysis Article Dec 15

Aecon Group (TSE:ARE) Has Announced A Dividend Of CA$0.19

Aecon Group Inc.'s ( TSE:ARE ) investors are due to receive a payment of CA$0.19 per share on 3rd of January. This...
Analysis Article Nov 15

Aecon Group Inc.'s (TSE:ARE) Shares Leap 30% Yet They're Still Not Telling The Full Story

Aecon Group Inc. ( TSE:ARE ) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 30% gain in the last month alone. The...

Stability and Growth of Payments

Fetching dividends data

Stable Dividend: ARE's dividends per share have been stable in the past 10 years.

Growing Dividend: ARE's dividend payments have increased over the past 10 years.


Dividend Yield vs Market

Aecon Group Dividend Yield vs Market
How does ARE dividend yield compare to the market?
SegmentDividend Yield
Company (ARE)1.7%
Market Bottom 25% (CA)1.7%
Market Top 25% (CA)5.4%
Industry Average (Construction)0.7%
Analyst forecast (ARE) (up to 3 years)1.7%

Notable Dividend: ARE's dividend (1.7%) is higher than the bottom 25% of dividend payers in the Canadian market (1.68%).

High Dividend: ARE's dividend (1.7%) is low compared to the top 25% of dividend payers in the Canadian market (5.43%).


Earnings Payout to Shareholders

Earnings Coverage: With its high payout ratio (137.6%), ARE's dividend payments are not well covered by earnings.


Cash Payout to Shareholders

Cash Flow Coverage: With its reasonably low cash payout ratio (27.6%), ARE's dividend payments are well covered by cash flows.


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/05/24 17:58
End of Day Share Price 2026/05/22 00:00
Earnings2026/03/31
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Aecon Group Inc. is covered by 17 analysts. 11 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Christopher MurrayATB Cormark
Gareth TinglingBeacon Securities Limited
Devin DodgeBMO Capital Markets Equity Research