Caterpillar Valuation

Is CATR undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of CATR when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: CATR (CA$28.44) is trading above our estimate of fair value (CA$21.06)

Significantly Below Fair Value: CATR is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for CATR?

Key metric: As CATR is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for CATR. This is calculated by dividing CATR's market cap by their current earnings.
What is CATR's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio17.4x
EarningsUS$10.68b
Market CapUS$185.62b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does CATR's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for CATR vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average23.7x
WSP WSP Global
48x24.6%CA$31.0b
PCAR PACCAR
12.5x-0.03%US$58.9b
VOLV B AB Volvo
10.7x0.8%SEK 552.5b
CMI Cummins
23.8x7.6%US$49.6b
CATR Caterpillar
17.4x-0.08%CA$185.6b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: CATR is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.4x) compared to the peer average (23.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does CATR's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the North American Machinery Industry?

4 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
CATR 17.4xIndustry Avg. 25.5xNo. of Companies10PE01224364860+
4 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: CATR is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.4x) compared to the North American Machinery industry average (25.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is CATR's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

CATR PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio17.4x
Fair PE Ratio26.9x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: CATR is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (26.9x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.


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