Royal Bank of Canada Valuation

Is RY undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of RY when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: RY (CA$140.96) is trading below our estimate of fair value (CA$196.87)

Significantly Below Fair Value: RY is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for RY?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

RY key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenuen/a
Enterprise Value/EBITDAn/a
PEG Ratio5.4x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does RY's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for RY vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average12.7x
TD Toronto-Dominion Bank
11.8x6.8%CA$135.6b
BMO Bank of Montreal
17.9x13.7%CA$93.0b
BNS Bank of Nova Scotia
10.8x6.8%CA$80.2b
CM Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce
10.5x3.5%CA$62.6b
RY Royal Bank of Canada
13.2x2.4%CA$197.8b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: RY is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.2x) compared to the peer average (12.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does RY's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the North American Banks Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a5.8%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a5.8%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: RY is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.2x) compared to the North American Banks industry average (9.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is RY's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

RY PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio13.2x
Fair PE Ratio10.4x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: RY is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.4x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst RY forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentCA$140.96
CA$144.75
+2.7%
4.2%CA$156.00CA$134.00n/a16
May ’25CA$133.97
CA$144.00
+7.5%
3.8%CA$153.00CA$134.00n/a15
Apr ’25CA$136.08
CA$143.34
+5.3%
3.7%CA$153.00CA$134.00n/a15
Mar ’25CA$131.94
CA$140.53
+6.5%
8.4%CA$155.00CA$100.00n/a15
Feb ’25CA$131.49
CA$137.85
+4.8%
8.6%CA$148.00CA$100.00n/a14
Jan ’25CA$134.00
CA$135.23
+0.9%
8.9%CA$148.00CA$100.00n/a13
Dec ’24CA$122.94
CA$129.75
+5.5%
8.0%CA$145.00CA$100.00n/a14
Nov ’24CA$111.27
CA$130.89
+17.6%
7.8%CA$142.00CA$100.00n/a14
Oct ’24CA$118.70
CA$131.60
+10.9%
8.0%CA$142.00CA$100.00n/a14
Sep ’24CA$122.85
CA$135.23
+10.1%
3.9%CA$142.00CA$126.00n/a16
Aug ’24CA$129.67
CA$136.04
+4.9%
4.0%CA$143.00CA$122.00n/a17
Jul ’24CA$126.52
CA$135.66
+7.2%
4.2%CA$143.00CA$122.00n/a17
Jun ’24CA$121.59
CA$136.29
+12.1%
4.5%CA$145.00CA$122.00n/a17
May ’24CA$134.37
CA$143.09
+6.5%
4.3%CA$152.00CA$132.00CA$133.9717
Apr ’24CA$129.25
CA$143.39
+10.9%
4.3%CA$152.00CA$132.00CA$136.0816
Mar ’24CA$133.62
CA$144.78
+8.3%
4.8%CA$161.00CA$132.00CA$131.9416
Feb ’24CA$136.49
CA$143.34
+5.0%
5.7%CA$164.00CA$130.00CA$131.4916
Jan ’24CA$127.30
CA$143.09
+12.4%
6.0%CA$164.00CA$126.00CA$134.0016
Dec ’23CA$134.67
CA$142.53
+5.8%
5.2%CA$153.00CA$126.00CA$122.9415
Nov ’23CA$126.07
CA$138.30
+9.7%
4.7%CA$148.00CA$124.00CA$111.2715
Oct ’23CA$124.37
CA$138.63
+11.5%
4.3%CA$148.00CA$129.00CA$118.7015
Sep ’23CA$121.89
CA$139.51
+14.5%
6.2%CA$151.16CA$118.00CA$122.8515
Aug ’23CA$124.86
CA$144.44
+15.7%
4.1%CA$152.00CA$132.00CA$129.6714
Jul ’23CA$124.64
CA$143.74
+15.3%
4.4%CA$152.00CA$132.00CA$126.5215
Jun ’23CA$132.45
CA$143.41
+8.3%
4.3%CA$152.00CA$132.00CA$121.5915
May ’23CA$129.75
CA$150.01
+15.6%
5.4%CA$165.00CA$135.00CA$134.3714

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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