National Bank of Canada

TSX:NA.PRC Stock Report

Market Cap: CA$46.9b

National Bank of Canada Valuation

Is NA.PRC undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of NA.PRC when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: NA.PRC (CA$26.3) is trading below our estimate of fair value (CA$42.88)

Significantly Below Fair Value: NA.PRC is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for NA.PRC?

Key metric: As NA.PRC is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for NA.PRC. This is calculated by dividing NA.PRC's market cap by their current earnings.
What is NA.PRC's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio13.4x
EarningsCA$3.51b
Market CapCA$46.93b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does NA.PRC's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for NA.PRC vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average15.1x
CM Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce
13.4x7.3%CA$86.4b
BMO Bank of Montreal
15.4x11.8%CA$96.8b
BNS Bank of Nova Scotia
13.8x8.6%CA$97.7b
TD Toronto-Dominion Bank
17.8x17.2%CA$137.2b
NA.PRC National Bank of Canada
13.4x0.1%CA$46.9b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: NA.PRC is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.4x) compared to the peer average (15.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does NA.PRC's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the North American Banks Industry?

4 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
NA.PRC 13.4xIndustry Avg. 13.4xNo. of Companies95PE0816243240+
4 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: NA.PRC is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.4x) compared to the North American Banks industry average (13.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is NA.PRC's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

NA.PRC PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio13.4x
Fair PE Ratio11.8x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: NA.PRC is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.8x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.


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