Stock Analysis

Should Income Investors Look At CPFL Energia S.A. (BVMF:CPFE3) Before Its Ex-Dividend?

BOVESPA:CPFE3
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Regular readers will know that we love our dividends at Simply Wall St, which is why it's exciting to see CPFL Energia S.A. (BVMF:CPFE3) is about to trade ex-dividend in the next four days. The ex-dividend date is one business day before a company's record date, which is the date on which the company determines which shareholders are entitled to receive a dividend. The ex-dividend date is important because any transaction on a stock needs to have been settled before the record date in order to be eligible for a dividend. This means that investors who purchase CPFL Energia's shares on or after the 2nd of May will not receive the dividend, which will be paid on the 31st of December.

The company's next dividend payment will be R$2.10 per share. Last year, in total, the company distributed R$2.10 to shareholders. Looking at the last 12 months of distributions, CPFL Energia has a trailing yield of approximately 6.4% on its current stock price of R$33.1. Dividends are a major contributor to investment returns for long term holders, but only if the dividend continues to be paid. So we need to check whether the dividend payments are covered, and if earnings are growing.

See our latest analysis for CPFL Energia

If a company pays out more in dividends than it earned, then the dividend might become unsustainable - hardly an ideal situation. That's why it's good to see CPFL Energia paying out a modest 48% of its earnings. A useful secondary check can be to evaluate whether CPFL Energia generated enough free cash flow to afford its dividend. It paid out 102% of its free cash flow in the form of dividends last year, which is outside the comfort zone for most businesses. Cash flows are usually much more volatile than earnings, so this could be a temporary effect - but we'd generally want to look more closely here.

While CPFL Energia's dividends were covered by the company's reported profits, cash is somewhat more important, so it's not great to see that the company didn't generate enough cash to pay its dividend. Were this to happen repeatedly, this would be a risk to CPFL Energia's ability to maintain its dividend.

Click here to see the company's payout ratio, plus analyst estimates of its future dividends.

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BOVESPA:CPFE3 Historic Dividend April 27th 2023

Have Earnings And Dividends Been Growing?

Companies with consistently growing earnings per share generally make the best dividend stocks, as they usually find it easier to grow dividends per share. If earnings fall far enough, the company could be forced to cut its dividend. That's why it's comforting to see CPFL Energia's earnings have been skyrocketing, up 31% per annum for the past five years. Earnings have been growing quickly, but we're concerned dividend payments consumed most of the company's cash flow over the past year.

Another key way to measure a company's dividend prospects is by measuring its historical rate of dividend growth. CPFL Energia has delivered an average of 4.3% per year annual increase in its dividend, based on the past 10 years of dividend payments. Earnings per share have been growing much quicker than dividends, potentially because CPFL Energia is keeping back more of its profits to grow the business.

Final Takeaway

Is CPFL Energia worth buying for its dividend? We're glad to see the company has been improving its earnings per share while also paying out a low percentage of income. However, it's not great to see it paying out what we see as an uncomfortably high percentage of its cash flow. Overall, it's not a bad combination, but we feel that there are likely more attractive dividend prospects out there.

With that in mind, a critical part of thorough stock research is being aware of any risks that stock currently faces. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for CPFL Energia you should be aware of.

A common investing mistake is buying the first interesting stock you see. Here you can find a full list of high-yield dividend stocks.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether CPFL Energia is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.