Canadian National Railway Valuation

Is CNIC34 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of CNIC34 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: CNIC34 (R$26.88) is trading above our estimate of fair value (R$19.65)

Significantly Below Fair Value: CNIC34 is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for CNIC34?

Key metric: As CNIC34 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for CNIC34. This is calculated by dividing CNIC34's market cap by their current earnings.
What is CNIC34's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio	18x
Earnings	CA$5.43b
Market Cap	CA$97.74b

CNIC34 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue	6.9x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA	13.4x
PEG Ratio	4.6x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does CNIC34's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for CNIC34 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
Company	Forward PE	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Peer Average	19.7x
MRSA3B MRS Logística	6.6x	n/a	R$9.7b
CSX CSX	18.8x	5.7%	US$69.0b
NSC Norfolk Southern	25.2x	12.9%	US$60.8b
CP Canadian Pacific Kansas City	28.3x	14.1%	CA$100.1b
CNIC34 Canadian National Railway	18x	3.9%	R$97.7b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: CNIC34 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18x) compared to the peer average (19.7x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does CNIC34's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Transportation Industry?

8 Companies	Price / Earnings	Estimated Growth	Market Cap

8 Companies		Estimated Growth	Market Cap

No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: CNIC34 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18x) compared to the Global Transportation industry average (14.4x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is CNIC34's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

CNIC34 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio	18x
Fair PE Ratio	19.3x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: CNIC34 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.3x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.