Stock Analysis

Here's Why Telefônica Brasil (BVMF:VIVT3) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly

BOVESPA:VIVT3
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David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We can see that Telefônica Brasil S.A. (BVMF:VIVT3) does use debt in its business. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

See our latest analysis for Telefônica Brasil

How Much Debt Does Telefônica Brasil Carry?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at December 2022 Telefônica Brasil had debt of R$19.5b, up from R$5.78b in one year. However, it does have R$2.27b in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about R$17.2b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
BOVESPA:VIVT3 Debt to Equity History February 21st 2023

A Look At Telefônica Brasil's Liabilities

The latest balance sheet data shows that Telefônica Brasil had liabilities of R$22.2b due within a year, and liabilities of R$28.5b falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of R$2.27b and R$11.9b worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling R$36.5b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since Telefônica Brasil has a huge market capitalization of R$69.2b, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

Telefônica Brasil has a very low debt to EBITDA ratio of 0.89 so it is strange to see weak interest coverage, with last year's EBIT being only 1.7 times the interest expense. So one way or the other, it's clear the debt levels are not trivial. We saw Telefônica Brasil grow its EBIT by 3.9% in the last twelve months. Whilst that hardly knocks our socks off it is a positive when it comes to debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Telefônica Brasil's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Happily for any shareholders, Telefônica Brasil actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT over the last three years. That sort of strong cash conversion gets us as excited as the crowd when the beat drops at a Daft Punk concert.

Our View

On our analysis Telefônica Brasil's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow should signal that it won't have too much trouble with its debt. But the other factors we noted above weren't so encouraging. In particular, interest cover gives us cold feet. Considering this range of data points, we think Telefônica Brasil is in a good position to manage its debt levels. Having said that, the load is sufficiently heavy that we would recommend any shareholders keep a close eye on it. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example - Telefônica Brasil has 2 warning signs we think you should be aware of.

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.