Livetech da Bahia Indústria e Comércio's (BVMF:LVTC3) Profits Appear To Have Quality Issues

Simply Wall St
November 24, 2021
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Livetech da Bahia Indústria e Comércio S.A's (BVMF:LVTC3) robust recent earnings didn't do much to move the stock. We believe that shareholders have noticed some concerning factors beyond the statutory profit numbers.

Check out our latest analysis for Livetech da Bahia Indústria e Comércio

BOVESPA:LVTC3 Earnings and Revenue History November 24th 2021

A Closer Look At Livetech da Bahia Indústria e Comércio's Earnings

As finance nerds would already know, the accrual ratio from cashflow is a key measure for assessing how well a company's free cash flow (FCF) matches its profit. The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. The ratio shows us how much a company's profit exceeds its FCF.

That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. Notably, there is some academic evidence that suggests that a high accrual ratio is a bad sign for near-term profits, generally speaking.

Livetech da Bahia Indústria e Comércio has an accrual ratio of 0.48 for the year to September 2021. As a general rule, that bodes poorly for future profitability. To wit, the company did not generate one whit of free cashflow in that time. In the last twelve months it actually had negative free cash flow, with an outflow of R$249m despite its profit of R$76.4m, mentioned above. We also note that Livetech da Bahia Indústria e Comércio's free cash flow was actually negative last year as well, so we could understand if shareholders were bothered by its outflow of R$249m.

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

Our Take On Livetech da Bahia Indústria e Comércio's Profit Performance

As we have made quite clear, we're a bit worried that Livetech da Bahia Indústria e Comércio didn't back up the last year's profit with free cashflow. For this reason, we think that Livetech da Bahia Indústria e Comércio's statutory profits may be a bad guide to its underlying earnings power, and might give investors an overly positive impression of the company. But the good news is that its EPS growth over the last three years has been very impressive. Of course, we've only just scratched the surface when it comes to analysing its earnings; one could also consider margins, forecast growth, and return on investment, among other factors. In light of this, if you'd like to do more analysis on the company, it's vital to be informed of the risks involved. To help with this, we've discovered 2 warning signs (1 is concerning!) that you ought to be aware of before buying any shares in Livetech da Bahia Indústria e Comércio.

This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of Livetech da Bahia Indústria e Comércio's profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.

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