Stock Analysis
TOTVS S.A.'s (BVMF:TOTS3) Stock Is Going Strong: Have Financials A Role To Play?
Most readers would already be aware that TOTVS' (BVMF:TOTS3) stock increased significantly by 5.6% over the past week. As most would know, fundamentals are what usually guide market price movements over the long-term, so we decided to look at the company's key financial indicators today to determine if they have any role to play in the recent price movement. In this article, we decided to focus on TOTVS' ROE.
Return on equity or ROE is a key measure used to assess how efficiently a company's management is utilizing the company's capital. In short, ROE shows the profit each dollar generates with respect to its shareholder investments.
See our latest analysis for TOTVS
How To Calculate Return On Equity?
The formula for return on equity is:
Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity
So, based on the above formula, the ROE for TOTVS is:
11% = R$520m ÷ R$4.6b (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2022).
The 'return' refers to a company's earnings over the last year. So, this means that for every R$1 of its shareholder's investments, the company generates a profit of R$0.11.
What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?
So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.
A Side By Side comparison of TOTVS' Earnings Growth And 11% ROE
It is hard to argue that TOTVS' ROE is much good in and of itself. An industry comparison shows that the company's ROE is not much different from the industry average of 10% either. However, the exceptional 30% net income growth seen by TOTVS over the past five years is pretty remarkable. We reckon that there could also be other factors at play thats influencing the company's growth. Such as - high earnings retention or an efficient management in place.
As a next step, we compared TOTVS' net income growth with the industry, and pleasingly, we found that the growth seen by the company is higher than the average industry growth of 16%.
Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. Is TOTVS fairly valued compared to other companies? These 3 valuation measures might help you decide.
Is TOTVS Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?
The three-year median payout ratio for TOTVS is 38%, which is moderately low. The company is retaining the remaining 62%. So it seems that TOTVS is reinvesting efficiently in a way that it sees impressive growth in its earnings (discussed above) and pays a dividend that's well covered.
Besides, TOTVS has been paying dividends for at least ten years or more. This shows that the company is committed to sharing profits with its shareholders. Our latest analyst data shows that the future payout ratio of the company is expected to rise to 71% over the next three years. Regardless, the future ROE for TOTVS is speculated to rise to 19% despite the anticipated increase in the payout ratio. There could probably be other factors that could be driving the future growth in the ROE.
Summary
On the whole, we do feel that TOTVS has some positive attributes. Despite its low rate of return, the fact that the company reinvests a very high portion of its profits into its business, no doubt contributed to its high earnings growth. The latest industry analyst forecasts show that the company is expected to maintain its current growth rate. To know more about the company's future earnings growth forecasts take a look at this free report on analyst forecasts for the company to find out more.
Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.
Find out whether TOTVS is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.