TOTVS Valuation

Is TOTS3 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of TOTS3 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: TOTS3 (R$28.11) is trading above our estimate of fair value (R$12.28)

Significantly Below Fair Value: TOTS3 is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for TOTS3?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

TOTS3 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue3.5x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA17.5x
PEG Ratio1.3x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does TOTS3's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for TOTS3 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average54.4x
300454 Sangfor Technologies
116.2x31.1%CN¥23.4b
002439 Venustech Group
31.2x19.4%CN¥23.6b
DARK Darktrace
37.5x4.2%UK£3.3b
BSOFT Birlasoft
32.7x18.2%₹181.6b
TOTS3 TOTVS
33.5x25.3%R$17.0b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: TOTS3 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (33.5x) compared to the peer average (55x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does TOTS3's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Software Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a17.6%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a17.6%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: TOTS3 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (33.5x) compared to the Global Software industry average (34.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is TOTS3's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

TOTS3 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio33.5x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate TOTS3's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst TOTS3 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentR$28.11
R$36.66
+30.4%
10.6%R$43.00R$27.80n/a11
Apr ’25R$28.13
R$37.03
+31.6%
10.2%R$43.00R$27.80n/a11
Mar ’25R$31.16
R$37.39
+20.0%
10.3%R$43.00R$27.80n/a11
Feb ’25R$32.02
R$38.55
+20.4%
7.4%R$44.00R$35.00n/a10
Jan ’25R$33.69
R$37.50
+11.3%
7.2%R$44.00R$35.00n/a10
Dec ’24R$33.84
R$37.00
+9.3%
5.5%R$41.00R$35.00n/a10
Nov ’24R$26.26
R$36.50
+39.0%
6.4%R$41.00R$33.00n/a10
Oct ’24R$27.00
R$36.30
+34.4%
6.8%R$41.00R$33.00n/a10
Sep ’24R$27.80
R$36.64
+31.8%
8.1%R$44.00R$33.00n/a11
Aug ’24R$29.61
R$36.45
+23.1%
7.6%R$44.00R$34.00n/a11
Jul ’24R$29.98
R$36.45
+21.6%
7.6%R$44.00R$34.00n/a11
Jun ’24R$30.09
R$36.18
+20.2%
9.3%R$44.00R$31.00n/a11
May ’24R$25.66
R$36.58
+42.6%
9.0%R$44.00R$31.00n/a12
Apr ’24R$28.16
R$36.75
+30.5%
8.7%R$44.00R$31.00R$28.1312
Mar ’24R$27.15
R$37.06
+36.5%
12.8%R$47.00R$27.80R$31.1614
Feb ’24R$30.14
R$36.41
+20.8%
13.9%R$47.00R$27.80R$32.0214
Jan ’24R$27.62
R$36.12
+30.8%
14.3%R$47.00R$27.80R$33.6915
Dec ’23R$29.44
R$36.32
+23.4%
14.1%R$47.00R$27.80R$33.8415
Nov ’23R$32.11
R$35.99
+12.1%
13.2%R$47.00R$27.80R$26.2615
Oct ’23R$29.35
R$35.92
+22.4%
13.3%R$47.00R$27.80R$27.0015
Sep ’23R$28.59
R$35.99
+25.9%
14.2%R$47.00R$27.00R$27.8015
Aug ’23R$26.20
R$36.00
+37.4%
13.6%R$45.00R$27.00R$29.6114
Jul ’23R$23.55
R$37.29
+58.3%
12.3%R$45.00R$30.00R$29.9814
Jun ’23R$28.94
R$38.04
+31.4%
13.4%R$45.00R$30.00R$30.0914
May ’23R$31.97
R$39.40
+23.2%
12.9%R$45.00R$28.70R$25.6613
Apr ’23R$36.79
R$39.26
+6.7%
12.5%R$47.00R$28.70R$28.1614

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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