Stock Analysis

Does Magazine Luiza (BVMF:MGLU3) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

BOVESPA:MGLU3
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Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We note that Magazine Luiza S.A. (BVMF:MGLU3) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Magazine Luiza

What Is Magazine Luiza's Net Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Magazine Luiza had R$4.84b of debt in September 2024, down from R$7.40b, one year before. However, it also had R$1.81b in cash, and so its net debt is R$3.03b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
BOVESPA:MGLU3 Debt to Equity History December 8th 2024

How Healthy Is Magazine Luiza's Balance Sheet?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Magazine Luiza had liabilities of R$14.3b due within a year, and liabilities of R$10.3b falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of R$1.81b and R$8.18b worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling R$14.7b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

This deficit casts a shadow over the R$6.29b company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. After all, Magazine Luiza would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

While Magazine Luiza has a quite reasonable net debt to EBITDA multiple of 1.7, its interest cover seems weak, at 1.8. This does have us wondering if the company pays high interest because it is considered risky. In any case, it's safe to say the company has meaningful debt. Notably, Magazine Luiza made a loss at the EBIT level, last year, but improved that to positive EBIT of R$1.4b in the last twelve months. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Magazine Luiza's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So it is important to check how much of its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) converts to actual free cash flow. Over the last year, Magazine Luiza actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT. There's nothing better than incoming cash when it comes to staying in your lenders' good graces.

Our View

On the face of it, Magazine Luiza's interest cover left us tentative about the stock, and its level of total liabilities was no more enticing than the one empty restaurant on the busiest night of the year. But at least it's pretty decent at converting EBIT to free cash flow; that's encouraging. Once we consider all the factors above, together, it seems to us that Magazine Luiza's debt is making it a bit risky. That's not necessarily a bad thing, but we'd generally feel more comfortable with less leverage. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Case in point: We've spotted 3 warning signs for Magazine Luiza you should be aware of.

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.