Stock Analysis

Be Wary Of Lojas Renner (BVMF:LREN3) And Its Returns On Capital

BOVESPA:LREN3
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If we want to find a potential multi-bagger, often there are underlying trends that can provide clues. Firstly, we'd want to identify a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and then alongside that, an ever-increasing base of capital employed. This shows us that it's a compounding machine, able to continually reinvest its earnings back into the business and generate higher returns. However, after investigating Lojas Renner (BVMF:LREN3), we don't think it's current trends fit the mold of a multi-bagger.

Understanding Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)

For those that aren't sure what ROCE is, it measures the amount of pre-tax profits a company can generate from the capital employed in its business. Analysts use this formula to calculate it for Lojas Renner:

Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)

0.099 = R$1.3b ÷ (R$20b - R$6.7b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2023).

Thus, Lojas Renner has an ROCE of 9.9%. On its own that's a low return, but compared to the average of 8.2% generated by the Specialty Retail industry, it's much better.

View our latest analysis for Lojas Renner

roce
BOVESPA:LREN3 Return on Capital Employed May 25th 2023

In the above chart we have measured Lojas Renner's prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you're interested, you can view the analysts predictions in our free report on analyst forecasts for the company.

SWOT Analysis for Lojas Renner

Strength
  • Earnings growth over the past year exceeded the industry.
  • Debt is not viewed as a risk.
Weakness
  • Dividend is low compared to the top 25% of dividend payers in the Specialty Retail market.
  • Expensive based on P/E ratio and estimated fair value.
Opportunity
  • Annual earnings are forecast to grow faster than the Brazilian market.
Threat
  • Dividends are not covered by cash flow.
  • Revenue is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

The Trend Of ROCE

On the surface, the trend of ROCE at Lojas Renner doesn't inspire confidence. Around five years ago the returns on capital were 25%, but since then they've fallen to 9.9%. However, given capital employed and revenue have both increased it appears that the business is currently pursuing growth, at the consequence of short term returns. And if the increased capital generates additional returns, the business, and thus shareholders, will benefit in the long run.

Our Take On Lojas Renner's ROCE

While returns have fallen for Lojas Renner in recent times, we're encouraged to see that sales are growing and that the business is reinvesting in its operations. And there could be an opportunity here if other metrics look good too, because the stock has declined 19% in the last five years. As a result, we'd recommend researching this stock further to uncover what other fundamentals of the business can show us.

If you'd like to know about the risks facing Lojas Renner, we've discovered 2 warning signs that you should be aware of.

While Lojas Renner isn't earning the highest return, check out this free list of companies that are earning high returns on equity with solid balance sheets.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Lojas Renner is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.