Stock Analysis

Returns On Capital At Lojas Quero-Quero (BVMF:LJQQ3) Paint A Concerning Picture

BOVESPA:LJQQ3
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To find a multi-bagger stock, what are the underlying trends we should look for in a business? One common approach is to try and find a company with returns on capital employed (ROCE) that are increasing, in conjunction with a growing amount of capital employed. Ultimately, this demonstrates that it's a business that is reinvesting profits at increasing rates of return. In light of that, when we looked at Lojas Quero-Quero (BVMF:LJQQ3) and its ROCE trend, we weren't exactly thrilled.

Return On Capital Employed (ROCE): What Is It?

For those that aren't sure what ROCE is, it measures the amount of pre-tax profits a company can generate from the capital employed in its business. To calculate this metric for Lojas Quero-Quero, this is the formula:

Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)

0.033 = R$58m ÷ (R$2.8b - R$1.1b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2023).

Therefore, Lojas Quero-Quero has an ROCE of 3.3%. In absolute terms, that's a low return and it also under-performs the Specialty Retail industry average of 7.1%.

See our latest analysis for Lojas Quero-Quero

roce
BOVESPA:LJQQ3 Return on Capital Employed September 25th 2023

Above you can see how the current ROCE for Lojas Quero-Quero compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you're interested, you can view the analysts predictions in our free report on analyst forecasts for the company.

So How Is Lojas Quero-Quero's ROCE Trending?

On the surface, the trend of ROCE at Lojas Quero-Quero doesn't inspire confidence. Over the last five years, returns on capital have decreased to 3.3% from 18% five years ago. Meanwhile, the business is utilizing more capital but this hasn't moved the needle much in terms of sales in the past 12 months, so this could reflect longer term investments. It's worth keeping an eye on the company's earnings from here on to see if these investments do end up contributing to the bottom line.

On a related note, Lojas Quero-Quero has decreased its current liabilities to 37% of total assets. That could partly explain why the ROCE has dropped. Effectively this means their suppliers or short-term creditors are funding less of the business, which reduces some elements of risk. Since the business is basically funding more of its operations with it's own money, you could argue this has made the business less efficient at generating ROCE.

What We Can Learn From Lojas Quero-Quero's ROCE

Bringing it all together, while we're somewhat encouraged by Lojas Quero-Quero's reinvestment in its own business, we're aware that returns are shrinking. Moreover, since the stock has crumbled 72% over the last three years, it appears investors are expecting the worst. On the whole, we aren't too inspired by the underlying trends and we think there may be better chances of finding a multi-bagger elsewhere.

One more thing: We've identified 2 warning signs with Lojas Quero-Quero (at least 1 which makes us a bit uncomfortable) , and understanding these would certainly be useful.

For those who like to invest in solid companies, check out this free list of companies with solid balance sheets and high returns on equity.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.