Stock Analysis

LOG Commercial Properties e Participações S.A. (BVMF:LOGG3) Stock's Been Sliding But Fundamentals Look Decent: Will The Market Correct The Share Price In The Future?

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With its stock down 15% over the past three months, it is easy to disregard LOG Commercial Properties e Participações (BVMF:LOGG3). However, stock prices are usually driven by a company’s financials over the long term, which in this case look pretty respectable. Particularly, we will be paying attention to LOG Commercial Properties e Participações' ROE today.

ROE or return on equity is a useful tool to assess how effectively a company can generate returns on the investment it received from its shareholders. In simpler terms, it measures the profitability of a company in relation to shareholder's equity.

See our latest analysis for LOG Commercial Properties e Participações

How Is ROE Calculated?

The formula for return on equity is:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for LOG Commercial Properties e Participações is:

4.6% = R$143m ÷ R$3.1b (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2020).

The 'return' is the amount earned after tax over the last twelve months. One way to conceptualize this is that for each R$1 of shareholders' capital it has, the company made R$0.05 in profit.

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.

LOG Commercial Properties e Participações' Earnings Growth And 4.6% ROE

As you can see, LOG Commercial Properties e Participações' ROE looks pretty weak. Even compared to the average industry ROE of 5.9%, the company's ROE is quite dismal. However, we we're pleasantly surprised to see that LOG Commercial Properties e Participações grew its net income at a significant rate of 32% in the last five years. Therefore, there could be other reasons behind this growth. Such as - high earnings retention or an efficient management in place.

As a next step, we compared LOG Commercial Properties e Participações' net income growth with the industry, and pleasingly, we found that the growth seen by the company is higher than the average industry growth of 25%.

past-earnings-growth
BOVESPA:LOGG3 Past Earnings Growth February 15th 2021

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. It’s important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. If you're wondering about LOG Commercial Properties e Participações''s valuation, check out this gauge of its price-to-earnings ratio, as compared to its industry.

Is LOG Commercial Properties e Participações Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?

LOG Commercial Properties e Participações has a really low three-year median payout ratio of 18%, meaning that it has the remaining 82% left over to reinvest into its business. This suggests that the management is reinvesting most of the profits to grow the business as evidenced by the growth seen by the company.

While LOG Commercial Properties e Participações has seen growth in its earnings, it only recently started to pay a dividend. It is most likely that the company decided to impress new and existing shareholders with a dividend. Based on the latest analysts' estimates, we found that the company's future payout ratio over the next three years is expected to hold steady at 19%. Accordingly, forecasts suggest that LOG Commercial Properties e Participações' future ROE will be 4.4% which is again, similar to the current ROE.

Conclusion

Overall, we feel that LOG Commercial Properties e Participações certainly does have some positive factors to consider. Even in spite of the low rate of return, the company has posted impressive earnings growth as a result of reinvesting heavily into its business. That being so, a study of the latest analyst forecasts show that the company is expected to see a slowdown in its future earnings growth. Are these analysts expectations based on the broad expectations for the industry, or on the company's fundamentals? Click here to be taken to our analyst's forecasts page for the company.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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