Stock Analysis

Shareholders of JHSF Participações (BVMF:JHSF3) Must Be Delighted With Their 396% Total Return

BOVESPA:JHSF3
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While JHSF Participações S.A. (BVMF:JHSF3) shareholders are probably generally happy, the stock hasn't had particularly good run recently, with the share price falling 22% in the last quarter. But that does not change the realty that the stock's performance has been terrific, over five years. To be precise, the stock price is 360% higher than it was five years ago, a wonderful performance by any measure. So it might be that some shareholders are taking profits after good performance. The most important thing for savvy investors to consider is whether the underlying business can justify the share price gain.

See our latest analysis for JHSF Participações

To paraphrase Benjamin Graham: Over the short term the market is a voting machine, but over the long term it's a weighing machine. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.

During the last half decade, JHSF Participações became profitable. Sometimes, the start of profitability is a major inflection point that can signal fast earnings growth to come, which in turn justifies very strong share price gains.

The image below shows how EPS has tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).

earnings-per-share-growth
BOVESPA:JHSF3 Earnings Per Share Growth March 9th 2021

It is of course excellent to see how JHSF Participações has grown profits over the years, but the future is more important for shareholders. This free interactive report on JHSF Participações' balance sheet strength is a great place to start, if you want to investigate the stock further.

What about the Total Shareholder Return (TSR)?

Investors should note that there's a difference between JHSF Participações' total shareholder return (TSR) and its share price change, which we've covered above. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. JHSF Participações' TSR of 396% for the 5 years exceeded its share price return, because it has paid dividends.

A Different Perspective

It's good to see that JHSF Participações has rewarded shareholders with a total shareholder return of 31% in the last twelve months. However, the TSR over five years, coming in at 38% per year, is even more impressive. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand JHSF Participações better, we need to consider many other factors. Consider for instance, the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 5 warning signs with JHSF Participações (at least 2 which make us uncomfortable) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of companies we expect will grow earnings.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on BR exchanges.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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