Stock Analysis

There Might Be More To LOG Commercial Properties e Participações' (BVMF:LOGG3) Story Than Just Weak Earnings

BOVESPA:LOGG3
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LOG Commercial Properties e Participações S.A.'s (BVMF:LOGG3) weak earnings were disregarded by the market. Despite the strength in the stock, we feel that investors should be cautious about some numbers in the earnings.

View our latest analysis for LOG Commercial Properties e Participações

earnings-and-revenue-history
BOVESPA:LOGG3 Earnings and Revenue History February 15th 2024

How Do Unusual Items Influence Profit?

Importantly, our data indicates that LOG Commercial Properties e Participações' profit received a boost of R$258m in unusual items, over the last year. While we like to see profit increases, we tend to be a little more cautious when unusual items have made a big contribution. We ran the numbers on most publicly listed companies worldwide, and it's very common for unusual items to be once-off in nature. And that's as you'd expect, given these boosts are described as 'unusual'. We can see that LOG Commercial Properties e Participações' positive unusual items were quite significant relative to its profit in the year to December 2023. All else being equal, this would likely have the effect of making the statutory profit a poor guide to underlying earnings power.

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

An Unusual Tax Situation

Having already discussed the impact of the unusual items, we should also note that LOG Commercial Properties e Participações received a tax benefit of R$10m. This is of course a bit out of the ordinary, given it is more common for companies to be paying tax than receiving tax benefits! We're sure the company was pleased with its tax benefit. However, the devil in the detail is that these kind of benefits only impact in the year they are booked, and are often one-off in nature. In the likely event the tax benefit is not repeated, we'd expect to see its statutory profit levels drop, at least in the absence of strong growth.

Our Take On LOG Commercial Properties e Participações' Profit Performance

In its last report LOG Commercial Properties e Participações received a tax benefit which might make its profit look better than it really is on a underlying level. Furthermore, it also benefitted from a positive unusual item, which boosted the profit result even higher. For all the reasons mentioned above, we think that, at a glance, LOG Commercial Properties e Participações' statutory profits could be considered to be low quality, because they are likely to give investors an overly positive impression of the company. Keep in mind, when it comes to analysing a stock it's worth noting the risks involved. To help with this, we've discovered 5 warning signs (2 are concerning!) that you ought to be aware of before buying any shares in LOG Commercial Properties e Participações.

In this article we've looked at a number of factors that can impair the utility of profit numbers, and we've come away cautious. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether LOG Commercial Properties e Participações is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.